NASDAQ, INC. 10-K Analysis & Summary – 2/21/2025

⚠️This is not investment advice.

⚠️ This is an experimental project and this report is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Conduct your own thorough research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. ⚠️

Filing date:

02/21/2025


TLDR:

Nasdaq, Inc.’s 10-K filing for FY2024 shows revenue growth driven by Financial Technology and Market Services. The company faces competitive pressures, cybersecurity risks, and regulatory complexities.

ELI5:

Nasdaq, a company that runs stock exchanges, made more money in 2024, especially from its technology and market services. However, they face challenges like competition and cyberattacks.


Accession #:

0001120193-25-000008

Published on

Analyst Summary

  • Revenue growth driven by Financial Technology and Market Services.
  • Strong ARR growth in Financial Technology.
  • Continued leadership in IPO listings.
  • Gross Profit Margin: 2024: 62.82%, 2023: 64.22%
  • Operating Profit Margin: 2024: 24.30%, 2023: 26.02%
  • Net Profit Margin: 2024: 15.09%, 2023: 17.47%
  • Return on Assets (ROA): 2024: 3.67%, 2023: 3.28%
  • Return on Equity (ROE): 2024: 9.98%, 2023: 9.79%
  • Basic EPS: 2024: $1.94, 2023: $2.10
  • Diluted EPS: 2024: $1.93, 2023: $2.08
  • Current Ratio: 2024: 0.99, 2023: 1.01
  • Quick Ratio: 2024: 0.95, 2023: 0.98
  • Cash Ratio: 2024: 0.10, 2023: 0.07
  • Debt-to-Equity Ratio: 2024: 1.72, 2023: 1.98
  • Debt-to-Assets Ratio: 2024: 0.63, 2023: 0.66
  • Interest Coverage Ratio: 2024: 4.34, 2023: 5.56
  • Asset Turnover: 2024: 0.24, 2023: 0.19
  • Price-to-Earnings Ratio (P/E): 41.99
  • Price-to-Book Ratio (P/B): 4.17
  • Price-to-Sales Ratio (P/S): 6.30
  • Enterprise Value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA): 23.03
  • Revenue Growth: 22.03%
  • Net Income Growth: 5.48%
  • EPS Growth: -7.21%
  • Total ARR increased from $1,235 million in 2023 to $1,268 million in 2024.

Opportunities and Risks

  • Economic Conditions: Vulnerability to economic downturns and market volatility.
  • Competition: Intense competition across all business segments.
  • Cybersecurity: Significant risk of cyberattacks and data breaches.
  • Technological Change: Need to keep up with rapid technological advancements, including AI.
  • Regulatory Risks: Extensive regulation and potential for enforcement actions.
  • Integration Risks: Challenges in integrating acquired businesses.
  • Financial Technology Growth: Strong demand for financial crime management and regulatory technology solutions.
  • Index Business: Continued growth in ETP AUM and new product launches.
  • Cloud Migration: Leveraging cloud infrastructure for improved performance and flexibility.
  • AI Integration: Using AI to enhance existing offerings and develop new solutions.

Potential Implications

Company Performance

  • Success hinges on effectively integrating acquisitions.
  • Success hinges on innovating with new technologies.
  • Success hinges on navigating the evolving regulatory landscape.

Stock Price

  • Investors should carefully consider the risks associated with economic conditions.
  • Investors should carefully consider the risks associated with competition.
  • Investors should carefully consider the risks associated with regulatory complexities.

SEC Filing Report: Nasdaq, Inc. (NDAQ) 10-K for FY2024

Executive Summary

This report analyzes Nasdaq, Inc.’s 10-K filing for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2024. Key findings include revenue growth driven by Financial Technology and Market Services, continued strength in the Index business, and ongoing integration of the Adenza acquisition. The company faces competitive pressures, cybersecurity risks, and regulatory complexities. A hold rating is suggested, pending further assessment of integration synergies and macroeconomic impacts.

Company Overview

Nasdaq, Inc. is a global technology company providing trading, clearing, exchange technology, data, analytics, and corporate services. It operates in three segments: Capital Access Platforms, Financial Technology, and Market Services. The company’s strategy focuses on liquidity, transparency, and integrity in the global financial system. A significant recent development is the acquisition of Adenza in November 2023.

Detailed Analysis

Management’s Discussion and Analysis (MD&A)

Management highlights the successful integration of AxiomSL and Calypso, strong ARR growth in Financial Technology, and continued leadership in IPO listings. The narrative emphasizes the company’s strategic focus on technology and client-centric solutions. Forward-looking statements regarding future operating results and integration benefits should be viewed with caution, considering the inherent risks and uncertainties.

Financial Statement Analysis

Revenue Trends

Segment 2024 (Millions USD) 2023 (Millions USD) 2022 (Millions USD) YoY Growth (2024 vs 2023)
Capital Access Platforms $1,972 $1,770 $1,682 11.4%
Financial Technology $1,621 $1,099 $864 47.5%
Market Services $3,771 $3,156 $3,632 20.9%

Financial Technology shows the strongest growth, likely due to the Adenza acquisition. Market Services also experienced significant growth.

Key Ratios

Key ratios are not directly provided in the extracted text, but can be calculated from the provided data. For example, the operating margin for 2024 is approximately 38.7% ($1,798M / $4,649M). Further analysis would require the full financial statements.

Cash Flow Analysis

Cash flow from operations increased, driven by higher net income and non-cash adjustments. Investing activities reflect the Adenza acquisition in 2023 and net purchases of investments in 2024. Financing activities show debt issuance in 2023 and debt repayment and share repurchases in 2024.

Uncommon Metrics

ARR is highlighted as a key performance metric. The company also emphasizes ETP AUM and IPO win rates. These metrics provide insights into the growth and competitive positioning of specific business segments.

Footnotes & Supplementary Disclosures

The footnotes provide details on the Adenza acquisition, debt obligations, and restructuring charges. These disclosures are crucial for understanding the company’s financial structure and strategic initiatives.

Risk & Opportunity Assessment

Risks

  • Economic Conditions: Vulnerability to economic downturns and market volatility.
  • Competition: Intense competition across all business segments.
  • Cybersecurity: Significant risk of cyberattacks and data breaches.
  • Technological Change: Need to keep up with rapid technological advancements, including AI.
  • Regulatory Risks: Extensive regulation and potential for enforcement actions.
  • Integration Risks: Challenges in integrating acquired businesses.

Opportunities

  • Financial Technology Growth: Strong demand for financial crime management and regulatory technology solutions.
  • Index Business: Continued growth in ETP AUM and new product launches.
  • Cloud Migration: Leveraging cloud infrastructure for improved performance and flexibility.
  • AI Integration: Using AI to enhance existing offerings and develop new solutions.

Conclusion & Actionable Insights

Nasdaq, Inc. demonstrates solid financial performance and strategic positioning. However, investors should carefully consider the risks associated with economic conditions, competition, and regulatory complexities. The company’s success hinges on its ability to effectively integrate acquisitions, innovate with new technologies, and navigate the evolving regulatory landscape. A hold rating is suggested, pending further assessment of integration synergies and macroeconomic impacts.

Financial Ratio and Metric Analysis

Profitability

  • Gross Profit Margin:

    • Ratio/Metric: Calculated as (Revenues less transaction-based expenses) / Total Revenues. 2024: $4,649 / $7,400 = 62.82% 2023: $3,895 / $6,064 = 64.22%
    • Trend: (62.82% – 64.22%) / 64.22% = -2.18%
  • Operating Profit Margin:

    • Ratio/Metric: Calculated as Operating Income / Total Revenues. 2024: $1,798 / $7,400 = 24.30% 2023: $1,578 / $6,064 = 26.02%
    • Trend: (24.30% – 26.02%) / 26.02% = -6.61%
  • Net Profit Margin:

    • Ratio/Metric: Calculated as Net Income Attributable to Nasdaq / Total Revenues. 2024: $1,117 / $7,400 = 15.09% 2023: $1,059 / $6,064 = 17.47%
    • Trend: (15.09% – 17.47%) / 17.47% = -13.62%
  • Return on Assets (ROA):

    • Ratio/Metric: Calculated as Net Income Attributable to Nasdaq / Total Assets. 2024: $1,117 / $30,395 = 3.67% 2023: $1,059 / $32,294 = 3.28%
    • Trend: (3.67% – 3.28%) / 3.28% = 11.89%
  • Return on Equity (ROE):

    • Ratio/Metric: Calculated as Net Income Attributable to Nasdaq / Total Nasdaq Stockholders’ Equity. 2024: $1,117 / $11,191 = 9.98% 2023: $1,059 / $10,816 = 9.79%
    • Trend: (9.98% – 9.79%) / 9.79% = 1.94%
  • Earnings Per Share (EPS) – Basic and Diluted:

    • Ratio/Metric: From the income statement. Basic EPS: 2024: $1.94, 2023: $2.10. Diluted EPS: 2024: $1.93, 2023: $2.08
    • Trend: Basic EPS: ($1.94 – $2.10) / $2.10 = -7.62%. Diluted EPS: ($1.93 – $2.08) / $2.08 = -7.21%

Liquidity

  • Current Ratio:

    • Ratio/Metric: Calculated as Total Current Assets / Total Current Liabilities. 2024: $7,786 / $7,902 = 0.99 2023: $9,096 / $9,025 = 1.01
    • Trend: (0.99 – 1.01) / 1.01 = -1.98%
  • Quick Ratio (Acid-Test Ratio):

    • Ratio/Metric: (Current Assets – Inventory) / Current Liabilities. Assuming “Other Current Assets” is inventory proxy. 2024: ($7,786 – $293) / $7,902 = 0.95 2023: ($9,096 – $231) / $9,025 = 0.98
    • Trend: (0.95 – 0.98) / 0.98 = -3.06%
  • Cash Ratio:

    • Ratio/Metric: Calculated as (Cash and Cash Equivalents + Financial Investments) / Total Current Liabilities. 2024: ($592 + $184) / $7,902 = 0.10 2023: ($453 + $188) / $9,025 = 0.07
    • Trend: (0.10 – 0.07) / 0.07 = 42.86%

Solvency/Leverage

  • Debt-to-Equity Ratio:

    • Ratio/Metric: Calculated as Total Liabilities / Total Nasdaq Stockholders’ Equity. 2024: $19,195 / $11,191 = 1.72 2023: $21,467 / $10,816 = 1.98
    • Trend: (1.72 – 1.98) / 1.98 = -13.13%
  • Debt-to-Assets Ratio:

    • Ratio/Metric: Calculated as Total Liabilities / Total Assets. 2024: $19,195 / $30,395 = 0.63 2023: $21,467 / $32,294 = 0.66
    • Trend: (0.63 – 0.66) / 0.66 = -4.55%
  • Interest Coverage Ratio (Times Interest Earned):

    • Ratio/Metric: Calculated as Operating Income / Interest Expense. 2024: $1,798 / $414 = 4.34 2023: $1,578 / $284 = 5.56
    • Trend: (4.34 – 5.56) / 5.56 = -21.94%

Activity/Efficiency

  • Asset Turnover:

    • Ratio/Metric: Calculated as Total Revenues / Total Assets. 2024: $7,400 / $30,395 = 0.24 2023: $6,064 / $32,294 = 0.19
    • Trend: (0.24 – 0.19) / 0.19 = 26.32%

Valuation

  • Price-to-Earnings Ratio (P/E):

    • Ratio/Metric: Calculated as Stock Price / Diluted EPS. 2024: $81.07 / $1.93 = 41.99
  • Price-to-Book Ratio (P/B):

    • Ratio/Metric: Calculated as Market Cap / Total Stockholders Equity. Market Cap = $81.07 * 575,145,323 = $46,626 million. P/B = $46,626 / $11,191 = 4.17
  • Price-to-Sales Ratio (P/S):

    • Ratio/Metric: Calculated as Market Cap / Total Revenues. Market Cap = $81.07 * 575,145,323 = $46,626 million. P/S = $46,626 / $7,400 = 6.30
  • Enterprise Value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA):

    • Ratio/Metric: EV = Market Cap + Total Debt – Cash and Cash Equivalents. EV = $46,626 + $9,480 – $592 = $55,514 million. EBITDA = Operating Income + Depreciation and Amortization = $1,798 + $613 = $2,411 million. EV/EBITDA = $55,514 / $2,411 = 23.03

Growth Rates

  • Revenue Growth:

    • Ratio/Metric: ($7,400 – $6,064) / $6,064 = 22.03%
  • Net Income Growth:

    • Ratio/Metric: ($1,117 – $1,059) / $1,059 = 5.48%
  • EPS Growth:

    • Ratio/Metric: ($1.93 – $2.08) / $2.08 = -7.21%

Other Relevant Metrics

  • ARR (Annual Recurring Revenue):

    • Capital Access Platforms: ARR increased from $682 million in 2023 to $691 million in 2024.
    • Financial Technology: ARR increased from $481 million in 2023 to $501 million in 2024.
    • Index: ARR increased from $72 million in 2023 to $76 million in 2024.
    • Total ARR: Increased from $1,235 million in 2023 to $1,268 million in 2024.

Commentary

Nasdaq’s financial performance in 2024 shows strong revenue growth, driven primarily by the Financial Technology and Market Services segments. While net income also increased, diluted EPS declined, indicating potential margin pressures or increased share count. The company maintains a solid ROE, but its current ratio suggests some liquidity concerns. The increased debt levels, likely due to the Adenza acquisition, have impacted the interest coverage ratio, but the company is still able to cover its interest expense. Overall, Nasdaq demonstrates growth and profitability, but investors should monitor liquidity and debt management.

⚠️ This is an experimental project and this report is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Conduct your own thorough research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. ⚠️