TELEPHONE & DATA SYSTEMS INC /DE/ 8-K Analysis & Summary – 2/21/2025

⚠️This is not investment advice.

⚠️ This is an experimental project and this report is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Conduct your own thorough research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. ⚠️

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Filing date:

02/21/2025


TLDR:

Telephone and Data Systems, Inc. reported Q4 and full year 2024 results, announced multiple transactions related to the strategic alternatives review at UScellular, and provided 2025 guidance for TDS Telecom.

ELI5:

TDS, a phone and internet company, is selling its UScellular wireless business to T-Mobile. TDS Telecom, their other business, is expanding its fiber internet service.


Accession #:

0001051512-25-000009

Published on

Analyst Summary

  • Total operating revenues decreased from $1,313 million in Q4 2023 to $1,240 million in Q4 2024, and from $5,160 million in 2023 to $4,964 million in 2024.
  • Net loss attributable to TDS common shareholders improved from $(523) million in Q4 2023 to $(11) million in Q4 2024, and from $(569) million in 2023 to $(97) million in 2024, primarily due to impairment charges in the prior year.
  • UScellular’s operating revenues decreased slightly, but there were improvements in postpaid and prepaid net losses and churn rates.
  • TDS Telecom’s operating revenues increased slightly and exceeded its full-year 2024 fiber address goal.
  • Net Profit Margin for 2024: -0.52%. For 2023: -9.44%.
  • Return on Assets (ROA) for 2024: -0.19%. For 2023: -3.50%.
  • Return on Equity (ROE) for 2024: -0.44%. For 2023: -8.12%.
  • Basic and Diluted EPS for 2024: $(0.85). Basic and Diluted EPS for 2023: $(5.05) and $(5.06) respectively.
  • Current Ratio for 2024: 1.55. For 2023: 1.40.
  • Quick Ratio for 2024: 1.39. For 2023: 1.23.
  • Cash Ratio for 2024: 0.33. For 2023: 0.20.
  • Debt-to-Equity Ratio for 2024: 0.70. For 2023: 0.69.
  • Debt-to-Assets Ratio for 2024: 0.30. For 2023: 0.29.
  • Interest Coverage Ratio for 2024: 0.93. For 2023: -7.30.
  • Asset Turnover for 2024: 0.36. For 2023: 0.37.
  • Price-to-Earnings Ratio (P/E): -44.66.
  • Price-to-Book Ratio (P/B): 0.74.
  • Price-to-Sales Ratio (P/S): 0.87.
  • Enterprise Value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA): -29.58.
  • Revenue Growth: -3.79%.
  • Net Income Growth: -94.66%.
  • EPS Growth: -83.20%.
  • TDS Telecom Adjusted OIBDA (Non-GAAP): $340 million for 2024 vs. $279 million for 2023, a 22% increase.
  • US Cellular Adjusted OIBDA (Non-GAAP): $845 million for 2024 vs. $818 million for 2023, a 3% increase.
  • Free Cash Flow (Non-GAAP): $194 million for 2024 vs. $(135) million for 2023.

Opportunities and Risks

  • Regulatory Approval: The pending sale of UScellular’s wireless operations to T-Mobile is subject to regulatory approval, which is not guaranteed.
  • Integration Challenges: If the transaction closes, integrating UScellular’s assets into T-Mobile could present challenges.
  • Competition: Both UScellular and TDS Telecom face intense competition in their respective markets.
  • Debt Levels: The company has a significant amount of long-term debt, which could impact its financial flexibility.
  • Fiber Expansion: TDS Telecom’s fiber expansion strategy presents a significant growth opportunity.
  • Tower Business: UScellular’s tower business is showing growth, with increased revenues and colocations.
  • Strategic Alternatives: The sale of UScellular’s wireless operations could unlock value for TDS shareholders.

Potential Implications

Stock Price

  • The pending sale of UScellular’s wireless operations introduces uncertainty, potentially impacting the stock price.
  • TDS Telecom’s fiber expansion strategy could positively influence investor sentiment if successful.
  • High debt levels and negative profitability metrics could negatively impact investor confidence.

SEC Filing Report: Form 8-K – Telephone and Data Systems, Inc.

Executive Summary

This 8-K filing from Telephone and Data Systems, Inc. (TDS) announces the company’s results of operations for the period ended December 31, 2024, and provides TDS Telecom’s estimated results for 2025. Key takeaways include improved wireless operating results at UScellular, continued fiber expansion at TDS Telecom, and updates on the pending sale of UScellular’s wireless operations to T-Mobile. While UScellular is not providing 2025 guidance due to the pending transaction, TDS Telecom anticipates growth in total operating revenues and adjusted OIBDA. Overall, the filing suggests a company in transition, with strategic shifts underway. A neutral stance is warranted, pending further developments and the closing of the UScellular transaction.

Company Overview

Telephone and Data Systems, Inc. (TDS) is a diversified telecommunications company providing wireless, broadband, video, and voice services through its businesses, UScellular and TDS Telecom. The company operates in a competitive industry landscape, facing challenges from larger competitors and evolving technologies. Recent significant developments include the strategic review of alternatives for UScellular, culminating in agreements to sell its wireless operations and select spectrum assets.

Detailed Analysis

Management’s Narrative (MD&A)

Management highlights the progress made on the strategic review of UScellular and the investments in high-quality networks across both business units. The tone is cautiously optimistic, emphasizing the focus on operational priorities and the ongoing fiber expansion at TDS Telecom. Management’s forward-looking statements regarding TDS Telecom’s 2025 estimated results provide some clarity amidst the uncertainty surrounding the UScellular transaction.

Financial Statement Analysis

Consolidated Results

Total operating revenues decreased from $1,313 million in Q4 2023 to $1,240 million in Q4 2024, and from $5,160 million in 2023 to $4,964 million in 2024. Net loss attributable to TDS common shareholders improved from $(523) million in Q4 2023 to $(11) million in Q4 2024, and from $(569) million in 2023 to $(97) million in 2024, primarily due to impairment charges in the prior year. The following table summarizes key financial metrics:

Metric Q4 2024 Q4 2023 2024 2023
Total Operating Revenues (Millions) $1,240 $1,313 $4,964 $5,160
Net Income (Loss) Attributable to TDS Common Shareholders (Millions) $(11) $(523) $(97) $(569)
Diluted Earnings (Loss) Per Share $(0.10) $(4.64) $(0.85) $(5.06)

UScellular

UScellular’s operating revenues decreased slightly, but there were improvements in postpaid and prepaid net losses and churn rates. Fixed wireless customers grew significantly. Due to the pending transaction with T-Mobile, UScellular is not providing 2025 financial guidance.

TDS Telecom

TDS Telecom’s operating revenues increased slightly. The company exceeded its full-year 2024 fiber address goal and is executing on its fiber broadband strategy. Residential broadband connections and revenue per connection grew. TDS Telecom provided estimated results for 2025, projecting total operating revenues between $1,030 and $1,070 million, adjusted OIBDA between $310 and $350 million, and capital expenditures between $375 and $425 million.

Uncommon Metrics

  • UScellular Fixed Wireless Customer Growth: The 27% growth in fixed wireless customers indicates a potential growth area for UScellular, even amidst the strategic review.
  • TDS Telecom Fiber Expansion: The delivery of 129,000 marketable fiber service addresses and the plan to add over 150,000 more in 2025 highlight the company’s commitment to fiber broadband.

Risk & Opportunity Assessment

Risks

  • Regulatory Approval: The pending sale of UScellular’s wireless operations to T-Mobile is subject to regulatory approval, which is not guaranteed.
  • Integration Challenges: If the transaction closes, integrating UScellular’s assets into T-Mobile could present challenges.
  • Competition: Both UScellular and TDS Telecom face intense competition in their respective markets.
  • Debt Levels: The company has a significant amount of long-term debt, which could impact its financial flexibility.

Opportunities

  • Fiber Expansion: TDS Telecom’s fiber expansion strategy presents a significant growth opportunity.
  • Tower Business: UScellular’s tower business is showing growth, with increased revenues and colocations.
  • Strategic Alternatives: The sale of UScellular’s wireless operations could unlock value for TDS shareholders.

Conclusion & Actionable Insights

TDS is undergoing a significant transformation with the pending sale of UScellular’s wireless operations. While the transaction introduces uncertainty, it also presents opportunities for value creation. TDS Telecom’s fiber expansion strategy is a positive sign, but the company faces challenges from competition and debt levels. A neutral stance is recommended, pending further developments and the closing of the UScellular transaction. Investors should monitor the regulatory approval process and the integration of UScellular’s assets into T-Mobile, as well as TDS Telecom’s progress on its fiber expansion goals.

Financial Ratio and Metric Analysis

Profitability

  • Gross Profit Margin: Not directly calculable from the provided data. Requires cost of goods sold information.
  • Operating Profit Margin: Not directly calculable from the provided data. Requires total operating expenses.
  • Net Profit Margin:
    • Ratio/Metric: Net Income / Total Operating Revenues. For 2024: (-26 / 4964) = -0.0052 or -0.52%. For 2023: (-487 / 5160) = -0.0944 or -9.44%.
  • Return on Assets (ROA):
    • Ratio/Metric: Net Income / Total Assets. For 2024: (-26 / 13682) = -0.0019 or -0.19%. For 2023: (-487 / 13921) = -0.0350 or -3.50%.
  • Return on Equity (ROE):
    • Ratio/Metric: Net Income / Total Equity. For 2024: (-26 / 5868) = -0.0044 or -0.44%. For 2023: (-487 / 5996) = -0.0812 or -8.12%.
  • Earnings Per Share (EPS) – Basic and Diluted:
    • Ratio/Metric: Provided in the filing. Basic and Diluted EPS for 2024: $(0.85). Basic and Diluted EPS for 2023: $(5.05) and $(5.06) respectively.

Liquidity

  • Current Ratio:
    • Ratio/Metric: Current Assets / Current Liabilities. For 2024: (1695 / 1090) = 1.55. For 2023: (1660 / 1184) = 1.40.
  • Quick Ratio (Acid-Test Ratio):
    • Ratio/Metric: (Current Assets – Inventory) / Current Liabilities. For 2024: (1695 – 183) / 1090 = 1.39. For 2023: (1660 – 208) / 1184 = 1.23.
  • Cash Ratio:
    • Ratio/Metric: Cash and Cash Equivalents / Current Liabilities. For 2024: (364 / 1090) = 0.33. For 2023: (236 / 1184) = 0.20.

Solvency/Leverage

  • Debt-to-Equity Ratio:
    • Ratio/Metric: Total Debt / Total Equity. Total Debt = Current Portion of Long-Term Debt + Long-Term Debt, Net. For 2024: (31 + 4051) / 5868 = 0.70. For 2023: (26 + 4080) / 5996 = 0.69.
  • Debt-to-Assets Ratio:
    • Ratio/Metric: Total Debt / Total Assets. For 2024: (31 + 4051) / 13682 = 0.30. For 2023: (26 + 4080) / 13921 = 0.29.
  • Interest Coverage Ratio (Times Interest Earned):
    • Ratio/Metric: Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBIT) / Interest Expense. EBIT = Income (Loss) Before Income Taxes + Interest Expense. For 2024: (-20 + 279) / 279 = 0.93. For 2023: (-548 + 66) / 66 = -7.30.

Activity/Efficiency

  • Inventory Turnover:
    • Ratio/Metric: Not directly calculable from the provided data. Requires cost of goods sold information.
  • Days Sales Outstanding (DSO): Not directly calculable from the provided data. Requires revenue and accounts receivable information.
  • Days Payable Outstanding (DPO): Not directly calculable from the provided data. Requires cost of goods sold and accounts payable information.
  • Asset Turnover:
    • Ratio/Metric: Total Operating Revenues / Total Assets. For 2024: (4964 / 13682) = 0.36. For 2023: (5160 / 13921) = 0.37.

Valuation

  • Price-to-Earnings Ratio (P/E):
    • Ratio/Metric: Stock Price / EPS. Stock price = $37.96. EPS for 2024 = $(0.85). P/E Ratio = 37.96 / (-0.85) = -44.66.
  • Price-to-Book Ratio (P/B):
    • Ratio/Metric: Market Cap / Book Value of Equity. Market Cap = Stock Price * Shares Outstanding. Shares outstanding = 114 million. Market Cap = 37.96 * 114 = 4327.44 million. Book Value of Equity = 5868 million. P/B Ratio = 4327.44 / 5868 = 0.74.
  • Price-to-Sales Ratio (P/S):
    • Ratio/Metric: Market Cap / Total Operating Revenues. Market Cap = 4327.44 million. Total Operating Revenues = 4964 million. P/S Ratio = 4327.44 / 4964 = 0.87.
  • Enterprise Value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA):
    • Ratio/Metric: (Market Cap + Total Debt – Cash) / EBITDA. Market Cap = 4327.44 million. Total Debt = 4082 million. Cash = 364 million. EBITDA = -272 million. EV = 4327.44 + 4082 – 364 = 8045.44 million. EV/EBITDA = 8045.44 / (-272) = -29.58.

Growth Rates

  • Revenue Growth:
    • Ratio/Metric: (Current Year Revenue – Previous Year Revenue) / Previous Year Revenue. (4964 – 5160) / 5160 = -0.0379 or -3.79%.
  • Net Income Growth:
    • Ratio/Metric: (Current Year Net Income – Previous Year Net Income) / Previous Year Net Income. (-26 – (-487)) / (-487) = -0.9466 or -94.66%.
  • EPS Growth:
    • Ratio/Metric: (Current Year EPS – Previous Year EPS) / Previous Year EPS. (-0.85 – (-5.06)) / (-5.06) = -0.8320 or -83.20%.

Other Relevant Metrics

  • TDS Telecom Adjusted OIBDA (Non-GAAP): $340 million for 2024 vs. $279 million for 2023, a 22% increase. This metric represents operating income before depreciation, amortization, accretion, and certain other adjustments. It is used by management to assess the performance of TDS Telecom.
  • US Cellular Adjusted OIBDA (Non-GAAP): $845 million for 2024 vs. $818 million for 2023, a 3% increase. This metric represents operating income before depreciation, amortization, accretion, and certain other adjustments. It is used by management to assess the performance of US Cellular.
  • Free Cash Flow (Non-GAAP): $194 million for 2024 vs. $(135) million for 2023. This metric represents cash flow from operating activities less cash paid for additions to property, plant, and equipment, and cash paid for software license agreements. It is used by management to assess the company’s ability to generate cash.

Commentary

TDS’s financial performance in 2024 was weak, marked by a net loss and declining revenues. While US Cellular’s performance declined, TDS Telecom showed some improvement in Adjusted OIBDA. The company’s leverage remains relatively stable, but profitability metrics are concerning. The significant loss on impairment of intangible assets negatively impacted the bottom line. Management’s focus on non-GAAP metrics like Adjusted OIBDA and EBITDA aims to highlight underlying operational performance, but the GAAP results reveal a challenging financial situation.

⚠️ This is an experimental project and this report is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Conduct your own thorough research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. ⚠️