BLUE OWL CAPITAL INC. 10-K Analysis & Summary – 2/21/2025

⚠️This is not investment advice.

⚠️ This is an experimental project and this report is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Conduct your own thorough research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. ⚠️

Filing date:

02/21/2025


TLDR:

Blue Owl Capital Inc. demonstrates continued growth in AUM and FPAUM, driven by strategic acquisitions and successful fundraising. The company’s high proportion of Permanent Capital provides a stable earnings model.

ELI5:

Blue Owl is making more money by managing more investments for people. They’re growing by buying other companies and getting more people to invest with them.


Accession #:

0001823945-25-000013

Published on

Analyst Summary

  • Net Income Attributable to Blue Owl Capital Inc. increased from $54.3 million in 2023 to $109.6 million in 2024.
  • Fee-Related Earnings (FRE) increased from $997.7 million in 2023 to $1,253.4 million in 2024.
  • Distributable Earnings increased from $927.8 million in 2023 to $1,129.2 million in 2024.
  • Management Fees increased significantly, driven by growth in all three platforms (Credit, GP Strategic Capital, and Real Assets).
  • AUM increased significantly across all platforms: Credit ($135.7 billion), GP Strategic Capital ($66.0 billion), Real Assets ($49.4 billion).
  • FPAUM also increased substantially: Credit ($91.0 billion), GP Strategic Capital ($37.3 billion), Real Assets ($31.5 billion).
  • Operating Profit Margin increased from 14.23% to 20.44%.
  • Net Profit Margin increased from 12.75% to 18.32%.
  • Return on Assets (ROA) increased from 0.62% to 1.00%.
  • Return on Equity (ROE) increased from 3.56% to 5.15%.
  • Basic EPS increased from $0.12 to $0.20.
  • Diluted EPS increased from $0.10 to $0.20.
  • Revenue Growth: 32.56%.
  • Net Income Growth: 101.65%.
  • EPS Growth: 66.67%.

Opportunities and Risks

  • Macroeconomic Factors: Economic downturns, interest rate fluctuations, and geopolitical instability could negatively impact portfolio company performance and fundraising efforts.
  • Competition: Intense competition in the alternative asset management industry could make fundraising and deployment of capital more difficult.
  • Conflicts of Interest: Potential conflicts of interest in allocation of capital, co-investment opportunities, and fee arrangements require careful management.
  • Cybersecurity: Increasing cybersecurity threats could disrupt operations and compromise confidential information.
  • Reliance on Key Personnel: The loss of key personnel could negatively impact the company’s ability to manage its products and attract investors.
  • Organic Growth: Continued growth in existing strategies and the launch of new products offer significant potential for AUM expansion.
  • Product Diversification: Expanding product offerings into complementary areas can attract new investors and leverage existing relationships.
  • Global Expansion: Penetrating the growing global market presents a significant opportunity for AUM growth.
  • Strategic Acquisitions: Accretive acquisitions can expand product offerings, develop the investor base, and facilitate global expansion.

Potential Implications

Company Performance

  • Continued growth in existing strategies and the launch of new products offer significant potential for AUM expansion.
  • Expanding product offerings into complementary areas can attract new investors and leverage existing relationships.
  • Penetrating the growing global market presents a significant opportunity for AUM growth.
  • Accretive acquisitions can expand product offerings, develop the investor base, and facilitate global expansion.

SEC Filing Report: Blue Owl Capital Inc. (10-K) – Fiscal Year 2024

Executive Summary

This report analyzes Blue Owl Capital Inc.’s 10-K filing for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2024. Blue Owl demonstrates continued growth in AUM and FPAUM, driven by strategic acquisitions and successful fundraising. The company’s high proportion of Permanent Capital provides a stable earnings model. Key risks include macroeconomic factors, competition, and potential conflicts of interest. Overall, the company appears well-positioned for continued growth, but investors should monitor risk factors closely.

Company Overview

Blue Owl Capital Inc. is a global alternative asset manager with $251.1 billion in AUM as of December 31, 2024. The firm operates across Credit, GP Strategic Capital, and Real Assets platforms. Blue Owl emphasizes a disciplined investment approach and a client-focused service model.

Detailed Analysis

Management’s Discussion and Analysis (MD&A)

Management highlights the company’s strong Permanent Capital base and its ability to navigate market volatility. The MD&A emphasizes the benefits of scale and the company’s diverse investor base. Key acquisitions (Prima, KAM, Atalaya) are discussed as drivers of growth.

Financial Statement Analysis

Key Ratios and Trends

  • Net Income Attributable to Blue Owl Capital Inc.: Increased from $54.3 million in 2023 to $109.6 million in 2024.
  • Fee-Related Earnings (FRE): Increased from $997.7 million in 2023 to $1,253.4 million in 2024.
  • Distributable Earnings: Increased from $927.8 million in 2023 to $1,129.2 million in 2024.
  • Management Fees: Increased significantly, driven by growth in all three platforms (Credit, GP Strategic Capital, and Real Assets).

Assets Under Management (AUM)

AUM increased significantly across all platforms:

  • Credit: $135.7 billion
  • GP Strategic Capital: $66.0 billion
  • Real Assets: $49.4 billion

Fee-Paying Assets Under Management (FPAUM)

FPAUM also increased substantially:

  • Credit: $91.0 billion
  • GP Strategic Capital: $37.3 billion
  • Real Assets: $31.5 billion

Visual Aids

AUM Composition (December 31, 2024):

Platform AUM (billions) FPAUM (billions)
Credit $135.7 $91.0
GP Strategic Capital $66.0 $37.3
Real Assets $49.4 $31.5

Red Flags and Uncommon Metrics

  • Tax Receivable Agreement (TRA): The estimated future payments under the TRA are substantial and could have a material adverse effect on Blue Owl’s financial condition.
  • Fair Value of Level 3 Assets: Significant reliance on Level 3 inputs for valuation, particularly for preferred equity investments and CLOs, introduces subjectivity and potential for valuation discrepancies.
  • Related Party Transactions: A significant portion of revenue is derived from related parties, requiring careful monitoring for potential conflicts of interest.

Risk and Opportunity Assessment

Risks

  • Macroeconomic Factors: Economic downturns, interest rate fluctuations, and geopolitical instability could negatively impact portfolio company performance and fundraising efforts.
  • Competition: Intense competition in the alternative asset management industry could make fundraising and deployment of capital more difficult.
  • Conflicts of Interest: Potential conflicts of interest in allocation of capital, co-investment opportunities, and fee arrangements require careful management.
  • Cybersecurity: Increasing cybersecurity threats could disrupt operations and compromise confidential information.
  • Reliance on Key Personnel: The loss of key personnel could negatively impact the company’s ability to manage its products and attract investors.

Opportunities

  • Organic Growth: Continued growth in existing strategies and the launch of new products offer significant potential for AUM expansion.
  • Product Diversification: Expanding product offerings into complementary areas can attract new investors and leverage existing relationships.
  • Global Expansion: Penetrating the growing global market presents a significant opportunity for AUM growth.
  • Strategic Acquisitions: Accretive acquisitions can expand product offerings, develop the investor base, and facilitate global expansion.

Conclusion & Actionable Insights

Blue Owl Capital Inc. demonstrates a strong financial performance and growth trajectory. The company’s emphasis on Permanent Capital and strategic acquisitions positions it well for future success. However, investors should carefully consider the identified risks, particularly those related to macroeconomic factors, competition, and potential conflicts of interest.

Overall Assessment: Hold. While the company shows strong growth potential, the identified risks warrant a cautious approach.

Recommendations:

  • Monitor macroeconomic conditions and their potential impact on portfolio company performance.
  • Assess the company’s ability to manage conflicts of interest effectively.
  • Track the company’s progress in integrating recent acquisitions and realizing anticipated synergies.
  • Evaluate the company’s success in raising new and successor products.

Blue Owl Capital Inc. Financial Analysis – 2024

1. Financial Ratio and Metric Analysis

Profitability

  • Gross Profit Margin: Not applicable. Blue Owl is an asset management firm, not a retail or manufacturing company.
  • Operating Profit Margin:

    • Calculation: Income Before Income Taxes / Total Revenues = $469,228 / $2,295,427 = 20.44%
    • Trend: 2023 Operating Profit Margin: $246,384 / $1,731,608 = 14.23%. Percentage Change: (20.44% – 14.23%) / 14.23% = 43.64% increase.
    • Industry: Compared to asset management industry peers, a 20.44% operating margin is generally competitive, suggesting efficient cost management relative to revenue generation.
  • Net Profit Margin:

    • Calculation: Consolidated Net Income / Total Revenues = $420,446 / $2,295,427 = 18.32%
    • Trend: 2023 Net Profit Margin: $220,776 / $1,731,608 = 12.75%. Percentage Change: (18.32% – 12.75%) / 12.75% = 43.65% increase.
    • Industry: An 18.32% net profit margin is strong within the asset management industry, reflecting effective management and profitability.
  • Return on Assets (ROA):

    • Calculation: Net Income Attributable to Blue Owl Capital Inc. / Total Assets = $109,584 / $10,992,470 = 1.00%
    • Trend: 2023 ROA: $54,343 / $8,817,621 = 0.62%. Percentage Change: (1.00% – 0.62%) / 0.62% = 61.29% increase.
    • Industry: An ROA of 1.00% is relatively low, indicating that the company is not generating significant profit from its assets. The asset management industry typically has a higher ROA.
  • Return on Equity (ROE):

    • Calculation: Net Income Attributable to Blue Owl Capital Inc. / Total Stockholders’ Equity Attributable to Blue Owl Capital Inc. = $109,584 / $2,127,758 = 5.15%
    • Trend: 2023 ROE: $54,343 / $1,528,239 = 3.56%. Percentage Change: (5.15% – 3.56%) / 3.56% = 44.66% increase.
    • Industry: An ROE of 5.15% is relatively low, suggesting that the company is not generating significant profit from shareholder equity. The asset management industry typically has a higher ROE.
  • Earnings Per Share (EPS) – Basic and Diluted:

    • Basic EPS: $0.20
    • Diluted EPS: $0.20
    • Trend: 2023 Basic EPS: $0.12. 2023 Diluted EPS: $0.10. Percentage Change Basic: ($0.20 – $0.12) / $0.12 = 66.67% increase. Percentage Change Diluted: ($0.20 – $0.10) / $0.10 = 100% increase.
    • Industry: EPS is a key metric for investors. The reported EPS is relatively low, but the growth is significant.

Liquidity

Note: The data provided does not include sufficient information to calculate Current Ratio, Quick Ratio, and Cash Ratio.

Solvency/Leverage

Note: The data provided does not include sufficient information to calculate Debt-to-Equity Ratio, Debt-to-Assets Ratio, and Interest Coverage Ratio.

Activity/Efficiency

Note: The data provided does not include sufficient information to calculate Inventory Turnover, Days Sales Outstanding (DSO), Days Payable Outstanding (DPO), and Asset Turnover.

Valuation

Note: The data provided does not include sufficient information to calculate Price-to-Book Ratio (P/B) and Enterprise Value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA).

  • Price-to-Earnings Ratio (P/E):

    • Calculation: Stock Price / EPS = $22.13 / $0.80 = 27.66 (EPS is calculated by multiplying the 2024 EPS of $0.20 by 4)
    • Industry: A P/E ratio of 27.66 suggests that the stock is trading at a premium compared to the average P/E ratio of the S&P 500.
  • Price-to-Sales Ratio (P/S):

    • Calculation: Market Cap / Total Revenues. Market Cap = Shares Outstanding * Stock Price = 608,346,194 * $22.13 = $13,462,817,045. Total Revenues = $2,295,427,000. P/S = $13,462,817,045 / $2,295,427,000 = 5.86
    • Industry: A P/S ratio of 5.86 is relatively high, suggesting that the stock is trading at a premium compared to the average P/S ratio of the S&P 500.

Growth Rates

  • Revenue Growth:

    • Calculation: ($2,295,427 – $1,731,608) / $1,731,608 = 32.56%
    • Industry: A revenue growth rate of 32.56% is very strong, indicating that the company is expanding its business rapidly.
  • Net Income Growth:

    • Calculation: ($109,584 – $54,343) / $54,343 = 101.65%
    • Industry: A net income growth rate of 101.65% is exceptional, indicating that the company is becoming more profitable.
  • EPS Growth:

    • Calculation: ($0.20 – $0.12) / $0.12 = 66.67%
    • Industry: An EPS growth rate of 66.67% is very strong, indicating that the company is increasing its earnings per share rapidly.

Other Relevant Metrics

  • Fee-Related Earnings (FRE): Increased from $997.7 million in 2023 to $1,253.4 million in 2024, a 25.6% increase. FRE represents earnings directly tied to fee generation, excluding investment gains/losses. This is a key profitability metric for asset managers.
  • Distributable Earnings (DE): Increased from $927.8 million in 2023 to $1,129.2 million in 2024, a 21.7% increase. DE represents the earnings available for distribution to shareholders, providing insight into potential dividend payouts.
  • Assets Under Management (AUM): Increased significantly across all platforms (Credit, GP Strategic Capital, and Real Assets), indicating successful asset gathering and investment performance.
  • Fee-Paying AUM (FPAUM): Increased substantially, driving higher management fees and overall revenue.
  • Acquisitions: The company completed several acquisitions (Atalaya, KAM, Prima, IPI), expanding its capabilities and AUM. These acquisitions have a significant impact on the financial statements, particularly on intangible assets, goodwill, and amortization expenses.

2. Commentary

Blue Owl Capital demonstrated strong financial performance in 2024, marked by substantial growth in revenue, net income, and AUM. The company’s profitability metrics, including operating and net profit margins, improved significantly year-over-year. This growth was fueled by successful asset gathering, strategic acquisitions, and effective management of its diverse investment platforms. While ROA and ROE remain relatively low, the significant growth in net income and EPS suggests improving efficiency and profitability.

⚠️ This is an experimental project and this report is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Conduct your own thorough research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. ⚠️