BUTLER NATIONAL CORP 8-K Analysis & Summary – 3/14/2025

⚠️This is not investment advice.

⚠️ This is an experimental project and this report is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Conduct your own thorough research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. ⚠️

Filing date:

03/14/2025


TLDR:

Butler National Corporation announced its third quarter fiscal year 2025 financial results, with revenue increasing 12% to $21 million.

ELI5:

Butler National made more money this quarter than last year because their airplane parts business and sports betting are doing well. However, their costs are also up, and they might not be able to turn all their orders into actual sales.


Accession #:

0001437749-25-007633

Published on

Analyst Summary

  • Revenue increased by 12% year-over-year, driven by Aerospace Products (Aircraft Modifications) and sports wagering.
  • Net income improved significantly (41.8% for the quarter), indicating improved profitability.
  • EPS increased from $0.03 to $0.05.
  • Aerospace Products revenue increased by 25%, but costs increased by 41%, resulting in flat operating income. Cost increases are attributed to expedited parts and outsourcing.
  • Professional Services revenue decreased slightly (1%), but operating income increased due to lower expenses. Sports wagering is offsetting declines in traditional gaming revenue.
  • The company has a backlog of $35.2 million, but there is no assurance that all orders will be completed.
  • Operating profit margin decreased from 20.02% in Q3 2024 to 19.01% in Q3 2025, a decrease of 5.04%.
  • Net profit margin increased from 12.56% in Q3 2024 to 15.95% in Q3 2025, an increase of 27.0%.
  • ROA increased from 2.10% in Q3 2024 to 2.63% in Q3 2025, an increase of 25.24%.
  • ROE increased from 4.77% in Q3 2024 to 5.42% in Q3 2025, an increase of 13.63%.
  • The debt-to-equity ratio decreased from 0.76 in Q3 2024 to 0.56 in Q3 2025, a decrease of 26.32%.
  • The debt-to-assets ratio decreased from 0.34 in Q3 2024 to 0.27 in Q3 2025, a decrease of 20.59%.
  • The asset turnover decreased from 0.17 in Q3 2024 to 0.16 in Q3 2025, a decrease of 5.88%.
  • The P/E ratio decreased from 12.08 in Q3 2024 to 7.25 in Q3 2025, a decrease of 39.98%.
  • Revenue grew by 11.68% from Q3 2024 to Q3 2025.
  • Net income grew by 41.81% from Q3 2024 to Q3 2025.
  • EPS grew by 66.67% from Q3 2024 to Q3 2025.
  • R&D costs increased slightly from $845 in Q3 2024 to $864 in Q3 2025, an increase of 2.25%.

Opportunities and Risks

  • Risk: Significant increase in costs within the Aerospace Products segment needs to be addressed.
  • Risk: Uncertainty surrounding the conversion of backlog into revenue poses a risk.
  • Risk: Parts shortages affecting gun control deliveries could impact future revenue.
  • Risk: Adverse impact of winter storms on the Boot Hill Casino highlights the vulnerability of the Professional Services segment to external factors.
  • Risk: The filing contains numerous forward-looking statements, which are inherently uncertain and subject to various risks and assumptions.
  • Opportunity: Strong growth in Aircraft Modifications presents a significant opportunity.
  • Opportunity: Increasing contribution of sports wagering to the Professional Services segment offers growth potential.
  • Opportunity: Strategic refocus of the avionics business and divestiture of the legacy JET autopilot repair business could enhance profitability.
  • Opportunity: Company’s plan to expand the Avcon fabrication shop and building acquisition to reduce outsourcing costs could improve margins in the long term.

Potential Implications

Company Performance

  • Continued revenue growth driven by Aerospace Products and sports wagering.
  • Potential margin pressure due to increased costs in the Aerospace Products segment.
  • Successful conversion of backlog into revenue is crucial for future performance.
  • Strategic initiatives, such as the avionics business refocus and cost reduction plans, could improve profitability.
  • Overall financial health is improving, as reflected by increased total assets and stockholders’ equity.

Stock Price

  • Positive revenue growth and improved profitability could positively impact the stock price.
  • Concerns about cost management in the Aerospace Products segment and backlog conversion could negatively impact the stock price.
  • Successful execution of strategic initiatives and cost reduction plans could boost investor confidence and drive the stock price higher.

SEC Filing Report: Butler National Corporation (8-K) – Q3 Fiscal Year 2025

Executive Summary

This report analyzes Butler National Corporation’s (BUKS) 8-K filing, released on March 14, 2025, pertaining to their Q3 fiscal year 2025 results (ending January 31, 2025). The company reported a 12% increase in revenue and improved net income compared to the same quarter last year. Key drivers include growth in Aerospace Products, particularly Aircraft Modifications, and increased sports wagering activity. While the overall outlook appears positive, increased costs in the Aerospace Products segment and potential risks associated with backlog conversion warrant attention. The company’s strategic refocus of its avionics business and divestiture of the legacy JET autopilot repair business are positive steps. Overall, a cautiously optimistic outlook is warranted, with a “Hold” recommendation pending further analysis of cost management and backlog execution.

Company Overview

Butler National Corporation operates in two segments: Aerospace Products and Professional Services. The Aerospace Products segment focuses on aircraft modification, maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO), as well as the manufacture and sale of electronic equipment. The Professional Services segment manages the Boot Hill Casino & Resort in Dodge City, Kansas, including gaming, dining, and entertainment. The company also has a partnership with DraftKings for online sports wagering in Kansas.

Detailed Analysis

Management’s Narrative (MD&A)

Management’s tone is generally positive, highlighting the revenue growth and improved earnings per share. They attribute the positive results to Aircraft Modification productivity, sports wagering, gun control deliveries, and the refocus of the Butler Avionics business. They acknowledge the impact of seasonal factors and severe weather on the quarter’s performance. The narrative emphasizes efficiency improvements in the Aircraft Modifications segment, but also notes potential fluctuations due to the nature of long-term projects. The discussion of the Avcon team’s work on complex airplane integrations and foreign regulatory approvals is encouraging. The sale of the JET autopilot repair business is presented as a strategic move to enhance profitability. The mention of parts shortages affecting gun control deliveries is a potential concern.

Financial Statement Analysis

Key Financial Data (Q3 Fiscal Year 2025 vs. Q3 Fiscal Year 2024)

Metric January 31, 2025 (USD Thousands) January 31, 2024 (USD Thousands) Change (%)
Revenue 21,174 18,960 11.68%
Operating Income 4,026 3,795 6.1%
Net Income 3,378 2,382 41.8%
Earnings Per Share 0.05 0.03 66.7%
New Product Research and Development Cost 864 845 2.2%

Key Financial Data (Nine Months Ended January 31, 2025 vs. Nine Months Ended January 31, 2024)

Metric January 31, 2025 (USD Thousands) January 31, 2024 (USD Thousands) Change (%)
Revenue 62,363 55,746 11.87%
Operating Income 12,416 8,531 45.54%
Net Income 9,220 8,052 14.5%
Earnings Per Share 0.14 0.11 27.3%
New Product Research and Development Cost 1,585 2,184 -27.4%

Analysis:

  • Revenue Growth: The 12% revenue increase is a positive sign, indicating strong demand for the company’s products and services.
  • Net Income Improvement: The significant increase in net income (41.8% for the quarter and 14.5% for the nine months) suggests improved profitability.
  • EPS Growth: The increase in earnings per share is a positive indicator for investors.
  • R&D Spending: R&D spending increased slightly for the quarter but decreased significantly for the nine-month period. This could indicate a shift in focus or the completion of certain development projects. Further investigation into the nature of these projects is warranted.

Segment Performance:

  • Aerospace Products: Revenue increased by 25%, driven by Aircraft Modifications. However, costs increased by 41%, resulting in flat operating income. This suggests potential challenges in cost management within this segment. The increase in costs is attributed to the expedited need for parts and outsourcing. The company’s plan to expand the Avcon fabrication shop and building acquisition to reduce outsourcing costs is a positive long-term strategy.
  • Professional Services: Revenue decreased slightly (1%), but operating income increased due to lower expenses. The decline in traditional gaming revenue was partially offset by an increase in sports wagering revenue, highlighting the growing importance of this segment.

Uncommon Metrics:

  • Backlog: The company reports a backlog of $35.2 million. While a strong backlog is generally positive, it’s crucial to assess the likelihood of converting this backlog into revenue and the associated costs. Management acknowledges that there is no assurance that all orders will be completed.

Risk & Opportunity Assessment

Risks:

  • Aerospace Products Cost Management: The significant increase in costs within the Aerospace Products segment is a concern and needs to be addressed.
  • Backlog Conversion: The uncertainty surrounding the conversion of backlog into revenue poses a risk.
  • Parts Shortages: The parts shortages affecting gun control deliveries could impact future revenue.
  • Weather Impact: The adverse impact of winter storms on the Boot Hill Casino highlights the vulnerability of the Professional Services segment to external factors.
  • Forward-Looking Statements: The filing contains numerous forward-looking statements, which are inherently uncertain and subject to various risks and assumptions.

Opportunities:

  • Aircraft Modification Growth: The strong growth in Aircraft Modifications presents a significant opportunity.
  • Sports Wagering Expansion: The increasing contribution of sports wagering to the Professional Services segment offers growth potential.
  • Avionics Business Refocus: The strategic refocus of the avionics business and divestiture of the legacy JET autopilot repair business could enhance profitability.
  • Cost Reduction Initiatives: The company’s plan to expand the Avcon fabrication shop and building acquisition to reduce outsourcing costs could improve margins in the long term.

Conclusion & Actionable Insights

Butler National Corporation’s Q3 fiscal year 2025 results show positive revenue growth and improved profitability. The Aerospace Products segment is driving growth, but cost management remains a challenge. The Professional Services segment is adapting to changing market dynamics with the growth of sports wagering. The company’s strategic initiatives, such as the avionics business refocus and cost reduction plans, are encouraging. However, the risks associated with backlog conversion and parts shortages need to be carefully monitored.

Overall Assessment: Hold

Recommendations:

  • Monitor Aerospace Products Costs: Closely track the company’s progress in managing costs within the Aerospace Products segment.
  • Assess Backlog Conversion: Evaluate the likelihood of converting the backlog into revenue and the associated costs.
  • Address Parts Shortages: Monitor the company’s efforts to remedy the parts shortages affecting gun control deliveries.
  • Evaluate Strategic Initiatives: Assess the effectiveness of the avionics business refocus and cost reduction plans.

Commentary

Butler National Corporation’s third quarter fiscal year 2025 shows positive momentum. Revenue increased by 12% compared to the same quarter last year, reaching $21.174 million. Operating income and net income also saw increases, indicating improved profitability. However, the diluted weighted average shares decreased, which could impact EPS growth rate. The company’s total assets and stockholders’ equity have increased, reflecting overall growth and financial health.

Financial Ratio and Metric Analysis

Profitability

Gross Profit Margin

  • Metric: Not enough information to calculate.
  • Trend: Not enough information to calculate.
  • Industry: Comparison to industry averages requires gross profit data, which is not available.

Operating Profit Margin

  • Metric:

    • 2025: $4,026 / $21,174 = 19.01%
    • 2024: $3,795 / $18,960 = 20.02%
  • Trend: The operating profit margin decreased from 20.02% in Q3 2024 to 19.01% in Q3 2025, a decrease of 5.04%.
  • Industry: The industry average operating profit margin varies widely. A general benchmark might be around 10-15% for diversified industrials, suggesting Butler National is performing well relative to this proxy.

Net Profit Margin

  • Metric:

    • 2025: $3,378 / $21,174 = 15.95%
    • 2024: $2,382 / $18,960 = 12.56%
  • Trend: The net profit margin increased from 12.56% in Q3 2024 to 15.95% in Q3 2025, an increase of 27.0%.
  • Industry: A net profit margin of 15.95% is generally considered healthy.

Return on Assets (ROA)

  • Metric:

    • 2025: $3,378 / $128,603 = 2.63%
    • 2024: $2,382 / $113,279 = 2.10%
  • Trend: The ROA increased from 2.10% in Q3 2024 to 2.63% in Q3 2025, an increase of 25.24%.
  • Industry: An ROA of 2.63% is relatively low, but acceptable.

Return on Equity (ROE)

  • Metric:

    • 2025: $3,378 / $62,371 = 5.42%
    • 2024: $2,382 / $49,912 = 4.77%
  • Trend: The ROE increased from 4.77% in Q3 2024 to 5.42% in Q3 2025, an increase of 13.63%.
  • Industry: An ROE of 5.42% is relatively low, but acceptable.

Earnings Per Share (EPS) – Basic and Diluted

  • Metric:

    • 2025: $0.05
    • 2024: $0.03
  • Trend: EPS increased from $0.03 in Q3 2024 to $0.05 in Q3 2025, an increase of 66.67%.
  • Industry: EPS is company-specific.

Liquidity

Current Ratio

  • Metric: Not enough information to calculate.
  • Trend: Not enough information to calculate.
  • Industry: Comparison to industry averages requires current asset and current liability data, which is not available.

Quick Ratio (Acid-Test Ratio)

  • Metric: Not enough information to calculate.
  • Trend: Not enough information to calculate.
  • Industry: Comparison to industry averages requires quick asset and current liability data, which is not available.

Cash Ratio

  • Metric: Not enough information to calculate.
  • Trend: Not enough information to calculate.
  • Industry: Comparison to industry averages requires cash and current liability data, which is not available.

Solvency/Leverage

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

  • Metric:

    • 2025: $35,130 / $62,371 = 0.56
    • 2024: $38,141 / $49,912 = 0.76
  • Trend: The debt-to-equity ratio decreased from 0.76 in Q3 2024 to 0.56 in Q3 2025, a decrease of 26.32%.
  • Industry: A debt-to-equity ratio of 0.56 is generally considered healthy.

Debt-to-Assets Ratio

  • Metric:

    • 2025: $35,130 / $128,603 = 0.27
    • 2024: $38,141 / $113,279 = 0.34
  • Trend: The debt-to-assets ratio decreased from 0.34 in Q3 2024 to 0.27 in Q3 2025, a decrease of 20.59%.
  • Industry: A debt-to-assets ratio of 0.27 is generally considered healthy.

Interest Coverage Ratio (Times Interest Earned)

  • Metric: Not enough information to calculate.
  • Trend: Not enough information to calculate.
  • Industry: Comparison to industry averages requires earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) and interest expense data, which is not available.

Activity/Efficiency

Inventory Turnover

  • Metric: Not enough information to calculate.
  • Trend: Not enough information to calculate.
  • Industry: Comparison to industry averages requires cost of goods sold and average inventory data, which is not available.

Days Sales Outstanding (DSO)

  • Metric: Not enough information to calculate.
  • Trend: Not enough information to calculate.
  • Industry: Comparison to industry averages requires accounts receivable and revenue data, which is not available.

Days Payable Outstanding (DPO)

  • Metric: Not enough information to calculate.
  • Trend: Not enough information to calculate.
  • Industry: Comparison to industry averages requires accounts payable and cost of goods sold data, which is not available.

Asset Turnover

  • Metric:

    • 2025: $21,174 / $128,603 = 0.16
    • 2024: $18,960 / $113,279 = 0.17
  • Trend: The asset turnover decreased from 0.17 in Q3 2024 to 0.16 in Q3 2025, a decrease of 5.88%.
  • Industry: An asset turnover of 0.16 is relatively low.

Valuation

Price-to-Earnings Ratio (P/E)

  • Metric:

    • 2025: $1.45 / (0.05 * 4) = 7.25
    • 2024: $1.45 / (0.03 * 4) = 12.08
  • Trend: The P/E ratio decreased from 12.08 in Q3 2024 to 7.25 in Q3 2025, a decrease of 39.98%.
  • Industry: A P/E ratio of 7.25 is relatively low.

Price-to-Book Ratio (P/B)

  • Metric: Not enough information to calculate.
  • Trend: Not enough information to calculate.
  • Industry: Comparison to industry averages requires book value per share data, which is not available.

Price-to-Sales Ratio (P/S)

  • Metric: Not enough information to calculate.
  • Trend: Not enough information to calculate.
  • Industry: Comparison to industry averages requires market capitalization and revenue data, which is not available.

Enterprise Value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA)

  • Metric: Not enough information to calculate.
  • Trend: Not enough information to calculate.
  • Industry: Comparison to industry averages requires market capitalization, debt, cash, and EBITDA data, which is not available.

Growth Rates

Revenue Growth

  • Metric: (($21,174 – $18,960) / $18,960) = 11.68%
  • Trend: Revenue grew by 11.68% from Q3 2024 to Q3 2025.
  • Industry: This growth rate is positive.

Net Income Growth

  • Metric: (($3,378 – $2,382) / $2,382) = 41.81%
  • Trend: Net income grew by 41.81% from Q3 2024 to Q3 2025.
  • Industry: This growth rate is positive.

EPS Growth

  • Metric: (($0.05 – $0.03) / $0.03) = 66.67%
  • Trend: EPS grew by 66.67% from Q3 2024 to Q3 2025.
  • Industry: This growth rate is positive.

Other Relevant Metrics

New Product Research and Development Cost

  • Metric:

    • 2025: $864
    • 2024: $845
  • Trend: R&D costs increased slightly from $845 in Q3 2024 to $864 in Q3 2025, an increase of 2.25%.
  • Industry: R&D costs are company-specific.

⚠️ This is an experimental project and this report is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Conduct your own thorough research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. ⚠️