Cardiff Lexington Corp 10-K Analysis & Summary – 3/14/2025

⚠️This is not investment advice.

⚠️ This is an experimental project and this report is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Conduct your own thorough research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. ⚠️

Filing date:

03/14/2025


TLDR:

ELI5:

Cardiff Lexington, a company that buys healthcare businesses, is in financial trouble and might not be able to stay in business. They are losing money, and experts suggest selling any investments in them.


Accession #:

0001683168-25-001610

Published on

Analyst Summary

  • Cardiff Lexington Corp (CDIX) faces significant financial and operational challenges, including a “going concern” warning from auditors.
  • Revenue decreased from $11.85M in 2023 to $8.27M in 2024, indicating potential issues with service demand or pricing.
  • The company experienced a shift from a net income of $3.03M in 2023 to a net loss of ($3.30M) in 2024, highlighting operational and financial distress.
  • Cash flow from operations worsened from ($1.81M) in 2023 to ($5.86M) in 2024, raising concerns about liquidity and solvency.
  • Gross margin decreased from 69.96% to 53.55%, indicating erosion of profitability.
  • The company’s accounts receivable collection lifecycle is between 18 and 24 months, creating liquidity constraints and increasing bad debt exposure.
  • A decrease in the settlement realization rate from 49% to 44% and a subsequent accounting adjustment of $1.65M suggest potential issues with revenue recognition and collectability.
  • Material weaknesses in internal control over financial reporting could lead to inaccurate financial reporting and potential fraud.
  • Significant accrued expenses to related parties raise questions about corporate governance and potential conflicts of interest.
  • The company’s settlement realization rate decreased from 49% historically to 44% in 2024, negatively impacting revenue by $1,005,764. A change in accounting estimate further reduced revenue by $1,650,474.

Opportunities and Risks

  • Risk: The auditor’s “going concern” warning indicates a high risk of bankruptcy.
  • Risk: The company’s acquisition strategy is inherently risky, with potential for overpaying for targets and difficulty integrating acquired businesses.
  • Risk: The healthcare industry is heavily regulated, and failure to comply with these regulations could result in significant penalties.
  • Risk: CDIX faces competition from larger, more established players in the healthcare market.
  • Risk: The company’s reliance on IT systems makes it vulnerable to cybersecurity incidents.
  • Opportunity: Management believes there is an opportunity for organic growth at existing facilities, which are currently operating at 35% capacity.
  • Opportunity: The company plans to supplement organic growth with strategic acquisitions, dependent on securing financing and identifying suitable targets.

Potential Implications

Company Performance

  • Continued financial losses and cash flow problems could lead to further operational cutbacks and asset sales.
  • Failure to address material weaknesses in internal control could result in regulatory scrutiny and penalties.
  • Inability to improve the accounts receivable collection cycle could lead to increased bad debt expenses and liquidity issues.
  • The company’s ability to execute its acquisition strategy is uncertain given its current financial condition.

Stock Price

  • The “going concern” warning and declining financial performance are likely to negatively impact the company’s stock price.
  • Negative investor sentiment could lead to further stock price declines.
  • Failure to achieve organic growth or make successful acquisitions could further depress the stock price.

SEC Filing Report: Cardiff Lexington Corp (CDIX) 10-K for Year Ended December 31, 2024

Executive Summary

This report analyzes Cardiff Lexington Corp’s (CDIX) 10-K filing for the year ended December 31, 2024. The company, an acquisition holding company focused on healthcare, faces significant challenges. A “going concern” warning, declining revenue, and material weaknesses in internal controls raise serious concerns. While management expresses optimism, the financial data suggests a struggling business model. The recommendation is SELL due to the high risk and uncertain future.

Company Overview

Cardiff Lexington Corp (CDIX) is an acquisition holding company targeting undervalued healthcare companies. Its primary operating subsidiary is Nova Ortho and Spine, a group of regional primary specialty and ancillary care facilities in Florida. The company also owns Edge View Properties, a real estate company with land holdings in Idaho. CDIX aims to provide capital and leadership to acquired companies, but recent performance indicates difficulties in executing this strategy.

Detailed Analysis

Management’s Discussion and Analysis (MD&A)

Management’s narrative focuses on the company’s acquisition strategy and market opportunities. However, the tone is overly optimistic given the financial results. Forward-looking statements regarding future acquisitions and growth should be viewed with skepticism. The MD&A acknowledges the impact of hurricanes on revenue but downplays the severity of the overall decline. The discussion of the change in settlement realization rate is concerning, suggesting potential issues with revenue recognition and collectability.

Financial Statement Analysis

Key Ratios and Trends

Ratio 2024 2023 Trend Interpretation
Revenue $8.27M $11.85M Decreasing Significant decline in revenue, indicating potential issues with service demand or pricing.
Gross Margin 53.55% 69.96% Decreasing Erosion of profitability, possibly due to increased costs or lower reimbursement rates.
Net Income (Loss) ($3.30M) $3.03M Decreasing Shift from profit to significant loss, highlighting operational and financial distress.
Cash Flow from Operations ($5.86M) ($1.81M) Decreasing Worsening cash flow situation, raising concerns about liquidity and solvency.

Uncommon Metrics & Red Flags

  • Extended Accounts Receivable Collection Cycle: The company’s accounts receivable collection lifecycle is between 18 and 24 months. This is a major red flag, creating liquidity constraints, increasing bad debt exposure, and requiring dependence on external financing.
  • Change in Settlement Realization Rate: The decrease in the settlement realization rate from 49% to 44% and the subsequent accounting adjustment of $1.65M is a significant concern. This suggests potential issues with revenue recognition, collectability, and the overall quality of earnings.
  • Material Weaknesses in Internal Control: The identified material weaknesses in internal control over financial reporting are a serious issue. These weaknesses could lead to inaccurate financial reporting and potential fraud.
  • High Related Party Transactions: Significant accrued expenses to related parties, particularly officers, raise questions about corporate governance and potential conflicts of interest.

Risk and Opportunity Assessment

Risks

  • Going Concern: The auditor’s “going concern” warning is a major red flag, indicating a high risk of bankruptcy.
  • Acquisition Strategy: The company’s acquisition strategy is inherently risky, with potential for overpaying for targets and difficulty integrating acquired businesses.
  • Healthcare Industry Regulations: The healthcare industry is heavily regulated, and failure to comply with these regulations could result in significant penalties.
  • Competition: The healthcare market is highly competitive, and CDIX faces competition from larger, more established players.
  • Cybersecurity: The company’s reliance on IT systems makes it vulnerable to cybersecurity incidents, which could result in data breaches and financial losses.

Opportunities

  • Organic Growth: Management believes there is an opportunity for organic growth at existing facilities, which are currently operating at 35% capacity. However, this is contingent on addressing the company’s financial and operational challenges.
  • Strategic Acquisitions: The company plans to supplement organic growth with strategic acquisitions. However, this is dependent on securing financing and identifying suitable targets.

Conclusion and Actionable Insights

Cardiff Lexington Corp faces significant financial and operational challenges. The “going concern” warning, declining revenue, material weaknesses in internal controls, and extended accounts receivable collection cycle raise serious concerns about the company’s ability to continue as a viable business. While management expresses optimism about future growth, the financial data suggests a high-risk investment. Therefore, the recommendation is SELL.

Financial Analysis of Cardiff Lexington Corporation

1. Commentary

Cardiff Lexington Corporation’s financial performance in 2024 shows a concerning downturn compared to 2023. Revenue decreased significantly, leading to a net loss compared to a net income in the previous year. The company faced challenges including lower settlement realization rates, hurricane impacts, and a change in accounting estimates. High interest expenses and losses from discontinued operations further contributed to the negative results, raising concerns about the company’s financial stability and operational efficiency.

2. Financial Ratio and Metric Analysis

Profitability

Ratio/Metric 2024 2023 Trend Industry Comparison
Gross Profit Margin 53.55% 69.96% -23.46% Varies widely by healthcare sub-sector; generally, a healthy margin is 40%+. Cardiff Lexington is below average.
Operating Profit Margin -2.34% 43.83% -105.35% Healthcare industry average is around 10-15%. Cardiff Lexington is significantly below average.
Net Profit Margin -39.94% 25.55% -256.24% Healthcare industry average is around 5-10%. Cardiff Lexington is significantly below average.
Return on Assets (ROA) -13.81% 14.60% -194.59% The healthcare industry average ROA is around 5%. Cardiff Lexington is significantly below average.
Return on Equity (ROE) -122.93% 413.90% -129.68% The healthcare industry average ROE is around 10-15%. Cardiff Lexington is significantly below average.
EPS (Basic) $(0.37) $155.66 -100.24% Varies significantly. Negative EPS is a major concern.
EPS (Diluted) $(0.37) $149.88 -100.25% Varies significantly. Negative EPS is a major concern.

Liquidity

Ratio/Metric 2024 2023 Trend Industry Comparison
Current Ratio 1.08 1.02 5.88% A healthy current ratio is typically between 1.5 and 2. Cardiff Lexington is below the healthy range.
Quick Ratio 0.08 0.02 300% A healthy quick ratio is typically around 1.0. Cardiff Lexington is significantly below average.
Cash Ratio 0.07 0.06 16.67% A cash ratio of 0.5 or higher is generally considered good. Cardiff Lexington is significantly below average.

Solvency/Leverage

Ratio/Metric 2024 2023 Trend Industry Comparison
Debt-to-Equity Ratio 6.08 19.31 -68.51% The healthcare industry average is around 1. A high ratio indicates higher risk.
Debt-to-Assets Ratio 0.68 0.68 0% The healthcare industry average is around 0.4-0.6. A high ratio indicates higher risk.
Interest Coverage Ratio -0.06 2.66 -102.26% A ratio below 1 indicates the company is not generating enough operating income to cover interest expenses.

Activity/Efficiency

Ratio/Metric 2024 2023 Trend Industry Comparison
Asset Turnover 0.35 0.57 -38.60% The healthcare industry average is around 0.6-0.8. Cardiff Lexington is below average.

Valuation

Ratio/Metric 2024 2023 Trend Industry Comparison
Price-to-Earnings Ratio (P/E) N/A N/A N/A N/A
Price-to-Book Ratio (P/B) 1.13 4.30 -73.72% The healthcare industry average is around 2-4. Cardiff Lexington is below average.
Price-to-Sales Ratio (P/S) 0.42 0.29 44.83% The healthcare industry average is around 1-3. Cardiff Lexington is below average.
Enterprise Value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) -11.74 3.17 -470.66% The healthcare industry average is around 10-15. Cardiff Lexington is significantly below average.

Growth Rates

Ratio/Metric 2024 2023 Trend Industry Comparison
Revenue Growth -30.23% N/A N/A Varies widely by healthcare sub-sector; generally, a positive growth rate is preferred.
Net Income Growth -209.13% N/A N/A Varies widely by healthcare sub-sector; generally, a positive growth rate is preferred.
EPS Growth -100.24% N/A N/A Varies widely by healthcare sub-sector; generally, a positive growth rate is preferred.

Other Relevant Metrics

  • Settlement Realization Rate: The company’s settlement realization rate decreased from 49% historically to 44% in 2024. This negatively impacted revenue by $1,005,764. A change in accounting estimate further reduced revenue by $1,650,474. This indicates a significant challenge in collecting revenue and managing accounts receivable.

⚠️ This is an experimental project and this report is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Conduct your own thorough research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. ⚠️