FS Specialty Lending Fund 10-K Analysis & Summary – 3/14/2025

⚠️This is not investment advice.

⚠️ This is an experimental project and this report is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Conduct your own thorough research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. ⚠️

Filing date:

03/14/2025


TLDR:

ELI5:

FS Specialty Lending Fund is like a company that lends money to other businesses. They’re changing their strategy to lend to a wider variety of companies instead of mostly energy companies. They made more money this year, but there are still some risks to consider, so experts suggest holding onto your investment for now.


Accession #:

0001628280-25-012773

Published on

Analyst Summary

  • Strategic shift from energy-focused to a diversified credit portfolio.
  • Net Investment Income increased to $134.6 million ($0.30 per share) from $81.4 million in the previous year, driven by higher interest income.
  • Operating Expenses to Average Net Assets increased from 4.50% to 5.69%.
  • Portfolio Turnover increased significantly, indicating increased portfolio activity related to the strategic shift.
  • Management emphasizes the experience of FS/EIG Advisor in sourcing and managing investments, while acknowledging potential conflicts of interest.
  • Net Profit Margin increased from 51.59% to 42.60%.
  • Return on Assets (ROA) increased from 3.95% to 4.53%.
  • Return on Equity (ROE) increased from 5.33% to 9.08%.
  • Earnings Per Share (EPS) increased from $(0.27) to $0.21.
  • Current Ratio decreased from 7.49 to 3.40.
  • Debt-to-Equity Ratio increased from 0.32 to 0.42.
  • Interest Coverage Ratio increased from 4.55 to 6.22.
  • Revenue Growth increased 41.44%.
  • Net Income Growth increased 65.40%.
  • EPS Growth increased 177.78%.
  • The company increased its distributions to shareholders in 2024, with the distribution amount fully covered by net investment income.

Opportunities and Risks

  • Reliance on FS/EIG Advisor: The fund’s performance is heavily dependent on the advisor’s expertise and ability to source deals.
  • Conflicts of Interest: FS/EIG Advisor manages other funds, creating potential conflicts in deal allocation and management fees.
  • Illiquidity of Investments: Many investments are in private companies with limited trading markets, making exits challenging.
  • Interest Rate Risk: Changes in interest rates can impact net investment income and the value of fixed-rate investments.
  • Leverage: While leverage can enhance returns, it also magnifies potential losses.
  • Economic Downturns: Recessions could impair portfolio companies’ ability to repay loans.
  • Cybersecurity: Vulnerability to cyber attacks could compromise business operations and data security.
  • Diversified Credit Strategy: The shift away from energy may reduce sector-specific risk and improve long-term stability.
  • Direct Originations: Direct lending allows for tailored investment structures and potentially higher returns.
  • Market Inefficiencies: Exploiting mispriced assets in broadly syndicated loan and bond markets.
  • Co-Investment Opportunities: The FS Order allows for co-investments with affiliated funds, potentially increasing access to deals.

Potential Implications

Company Performance

  • Monitor Portfolio Transition: Track the progress of the shift away from energy and the diversification into new sectors.
  • Assess Interest Rate Sensitivity: Analyze the impact of potential interest rate changes on net investment income and portfolio valuation.
  • Scrutinize Related-Party Transactions: Carefully review all transactions with FS/EIG Advisor and its affiliates to ensure fairness and transparency.
  • Evaluate Liquidity: Assess the fund’s ability to meet redemption requests and fund unfunded commitments, given the illiquid nature of many investments.

Stock Price

  • A P/B ratio below 1 suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to its net asset value.

FS Specialty Lending Fund (FSSL) – 10-K Analysis (FY 2024)

Executive Summary

This report analyzes FS Specialty Lending Fund’s (FSSL) 10-K filing for the fiscal year 2024. Key findings include a shift in investment strategy from energy-focused to diversified credit, an increase in net investment income, and continued reliance on external management. The fund’s asset coverage remains above the regulatory minimum. However, the illiquid nature of many investments and the potential for conflicts of interest with the advisor remain key risks. Overall assessment: Hold. Recommendations: Closely monitor the portfolio transition, assess the impact of interest rate changes, and scrutinize related-party transactions.

Company Overview

FS Specialty Lending Fund (FSSL) is a non-diversified, closed-end management investment company structured as a Business Development Company (BDC). It is externally managed by FS/EIG Advisor, LLC. The fund’s primary objective is to generate current income and, secondarily, long-term capital appreciation. A significant strategic shift occurred in 2024, moving away from a primarily energy-focused portfolio to a more diversified credit strategy across various sectors. The fund invests in secured and unsecured loans, bonds, and other credit instruments, targeting both direct originations and broadly syndicated investments.

Financial Statement Analysis

Key Financial Data

Total Assets (December 31, 2024): Approximately $2.1 billion

Net Investment Income (FY 2024): $134.6 million ($0.30 per share), up from $81.4 million in FY 2023

Net Increase in Net Assets Resulting from Operations (FY 2024): $95.0 million ($0.21 per share)

Portfolio Composition

The portfolio is shifting away from energy, with increased diversification across industries.

Asset Class Percentage of Portfolio (December 31, 2024) Percentage of Portfolio (December 31, 2023)
Senior Secured Loans – First Lien 78% 54%
Senior Secured Loans – Second Lien 3% 4%
Senior Secured Bonds 6% 5%
Unsecured Debt 2% 0%
Asset Based Finance 2% 0%
Equity/Other 9% 33%
Sustainable Infrastructure Investments, LLC 0% 3%
Short-Term Investments 0% 1%

Key Ratios

Operating Expenses to Average Net Assets: 5.69% (FY 2024), 4.50% (FY 2023)

Net Investment Income to Average Net Assets: 8.65% (FY 2024), 4.77% (FY 2023)

Portfolio Turnover: 68.24% (FY 2024), 45.84% (FY 2023) – Indicating increased portfolio activity related to the strategic shift.

Management’s Discussion and Analysis (MD&A) Insights

Management emphasizes the strategic shift towards a diversified credit portfolio. They highlight the experience of FS/EIG Advisor in sourcing and managing investments. The MD&A acknowledges the dependence on FS/EIG Advisor and the potential for conflicts of interest. The narrative aligns with the financial data, showing a decrease in energy-related assets and an increase in other credit investments.

Risk Assessment

Key Risks Identified:

  • Reliance on FS/EIG Advisor: The fund’s performance is heavily dependent on the advisor’s expertise and ability to source deals.
  • Conflicts of Interest: FS/EIG Advisor manages other funds, creating potential conflicts in deal allocation and management fees.
  • Illiquidity of Investments: Many investments are in private companies with limited trading markets, making exits challenging.
  • Interest Rate Risk: Changes in interest rates can impact net investment income and the value of fixed-rate investments.
  • Leverage: While leverage can enhance returns, it also magnifies potential losses.
  • Economic Downturns: Recessions could impair portfolio companies’ ability to repay loans.
  • Cybersecurity: Vulnerability to cyber attacks could compromise business operations and data security.

Opportunity Assessment

Potential Opportunities:

  • Diversified Credit Strategy: The shift away from energy may reduce sector-specific risk and improve long-term stability.
  • Direct Originations: Direct lending allows for tailored investment structures and potentially higher returns.
  • Market Inefficiencies: Exploiting mispriced assets in broadly syndicated loan and bond markets.
  • Co-Investment Opportunities: The FS Order allows for co-investments with affiliated funds, potentially increasing access to deals.

Conclusion & Actionable Insights

Overall Assessment: Hold. FSSL is undergoing a significant transformation. While the diversified credit strategy presents opportunities, the risks associated with external management, illiquidity, and potential conflicts of interest warrant a cautious approach.

Recommendations:

  • Monitor Portfolio Transition: Track the progress of the shift away from energy and the diversification into new sectors.
  • Assess Interest Rate Sensitivity: Analyze the impact of potential interest rate changes on net investment income and portfolio valuation.
  • Scrutinize Related-Party Transactions: Carefully review all transactions with FS/EIG Advisor and its affiliates to ensure fairness and transparency.
  • Evaluate Liquidity: Assess the fund’s ability to meet redemption requests and fund unfunded commitments, given the illiquid nature of many investments.

FS Specialty Lending Fund’s financial performance in 2024 shows a mixed picture. While net investment income increased, driven by higher interest income, this was offset by net realized and unrealized losses on investments. The company increased its distribution per share, reflecting a commitment to shareholder returns. However, the net asset value per share decreased slightly, indicating a decline in overall portfolio value.

Financial Ratio and Metric Analysis

Profitability

  • Metric: Gross Profit Margin

    Gross profit margin is not applicable for this BDC.
  • Metric: Operating Profit Margin

    Operating profit margin is not applicable for this BDC.
  • Metric: Net Profit Margin

    Metric: 42.60% (Net Investment Income / Total Investment Income: 134,571 / 223,091)

    Trend: Increased from 51.59% in 2023 (81,363 / 157,722). Percentage Change: 18.98%

    Industry: BDCs typically aim for high net profit margins, reflecting efficient management of investment income relative to expenses. Industry averages vary, but a margin above 40% is generally considered healthy.
  • Metric: Return on Assets (ROA)

    Metric: 4.53% (Net Investment Income / Average Total Assets: 134,571 / ((2,131,236 + 2,059,557)/2))

    Trend: Increased from 3.95% in 2023 (81,363 / ((2,059,557 + 1,753,748)/2)). Percentage Change: 14.68%

    Industry: BDCs aim to generate competitive returns on their asset base. An ROA in the range of 3-5% might be typical, but this depends on the BDC’s investment strategy and leverage.
  • Metric: Return on Equity (ROE)

    Metric: 9.08% (Net Investment Income / Average Equity: 134,571 / ((1,503,456 + 1,562,055)/2))

    Trend: Increased from 5.33% in 2023 (81,363 / ((1,562,055 + 1,753,748)/2)). Percentage Change: 70.34%

    Industry: BDCs strive for attractive returns on equity to reward shareholders. An ROE in the range of 8-12% could be considered a reasonable target, but this varies based on risk profile and market conditions.
  • Metric: Earnings Per Share (EPS) – Basic and Diluted

    Metric: $0.21

    Trend: Increased from $(0.27) in 2023. Percentage Change: 177.78%

    Industry: EPS varies significantly among BDCs, depending on investment performance and share count.

Liquidity

  • Metric: Current Ratio

    Metric: 3.40 (Current Assets / Current Liabilities: (202,091 + 36,945 + 33,895 + 14,383 + 330 + 70 + 773 + 112) / (82,699 + 34,335 + 8,672 + 346 + 1,365 + 164 + 3,157))

    Trend: Decreased from 7.49 in 2023 ((486,059 + 6,699 + 27,860 + 15,093 + 360 + 36 + 254) / (61,596 + 27,740 + 8,416 + 108 + 1,603 + 164 + 3,179)). Percentage Change: -54.60%

    Industry: A current ratio above 1 indicates the company has more current assets than liabilities. BDCs may operate with lower current ratios than other industries, as their assets are primarily investments rather than liquid assets.
  • Metric: Quick Ratio (Acid-Test Ratio)

    Metric: 3.40 (Quick Assets / Current Liabilities: (202,091 + 36,945 + 33,895 + 14,383 + 330 + 70 + 773 + 112) / (82,699 + 34,335 + 8,672 + 346 + 1,365 + 164 + 3,157))

    Trend: Decreased from 7.49 in 2023 ((486,059 + 6,699 + 27,860 + 15,093 + 360 + 36 + 254) / (61,596 + 27,740 + 8,416 + 108 + 1,603 + 164 + 3,179)). Percentage Change: -54.60%

    Industry: Similar to the current ratio, the quick ratio assesses short-term liquidity.
  • Metric: Cash Ratio

    Metric: 0.32 (Cash and Cash Equivalents / Current Liabilities: 202,091 / (82,699 + 34,335 + 8,672 + 346 + 1,365 + 164 + 3,157))

    Trend: Increased from 0.98 in 2023 (486,059 / (61,596 + 27,740 + 8,416 + 108 + 1,603 + 164 + 3,179)). Percentage Change: -67.35%

    Industry: The cash ratio indicates the company’s ability to cover current liabilities with cash and equivalents.

Solvency/Leverage

  • Metric: Debt-to-Equity Ratio

    Metric: 0.42 (Total Liabilities / Total Equity: 627,780 / 1,503,456)

    Trend: Increased from 0.32 in 2023 (497,502 / 1,562,055). Percentage Change: 31.25%

    Industry: BDCs typically employ leverage to enhance returns. The appropriate level of leverage depends on the BDC’s risk tolerance and investment strategy.
  • Metric: Debt-to-Assets Ratio

    Metric: 0.29 (Total Liabilities / Total Assets: 627,780 / 2,131,236)

    Trend: Increased from 0.24 in 2023 (497,502 / 2,059,557). Percentage Change: 20.83%

    Industry: This ratio indicates the proportion of assets financed by debt.
  • Metric: Interest Coverage Ratio (Times Interest Earned)

    Metric: 6.22 (Earnings Before Interest and Taxes / Interest Expense: (136,797 + 35,891) / 35,891)

    Trend: Increased from 4.55 in 2023 ((83,946 + 23,698) / 23,698). Percentage Change: 36.70%

    Industry: A higher ratio indicates a greater ability to cover interest payments.

Activity/Efficiency

  • Metric: Inventory Turnover

    Not applicable for this BDC.
  • Metric: Days Sales Outstanding (DSO)

    DSO is not directly applicable to a BDC.
  • Metric: Days Payable Outstanding (DPO)

    DPO is not directly applicable to a BDC.
  • Metric: Asset Turnover

    Metric: 0.11 (Total Investment Income / Average Total Assets: 223,091 / ((2,131,236 + 2,059,557)/2))

    Trend: Increased from 0.08 in 2023 (157,722 / ((2,059,557 + 1,753,748)/2)). Percentage Change: 37.50%

    Industry: This ratio measures how efficiently the company generates revenue from its assets.

Valuation

  • Metric: Price-to-Earnings Ratio (P/E)

    Metric: 2.91 (Stock Price / EPS: 2.52 / 0.21 * 4)

    Trend: P/E ratio was negative in 2023 due to negative EPS.

    Industry: P/E ratios for BDCs can vary widely.
  • Metric: Price-to-Book Ratio (P/B)

    Metric: 0.76 (Stock Price / Book Value Per Share: 2.52 / 3.30)

    Trend: Decreased from 0.88 in 2023 (2.52 / 3.43). Percentage Change: -13.64%

    Industry: A P/B ratio below 1 suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to its net asset value.
  • Metric: Price-to-Sales Ratio (P/S)

    Metric: 5.10 (Market Cap / Total Investment Income: (455,506,155 * 2.52) / 223,091,000)

    Trend: Decreased from 7.27 in 2023 ((455,506,155 * 2.52) / 157,722,000). Percentage Change: -29.85%

    Industry: This ratio compares the company’s market capitalization to its revenue.
  • Metric: Enterprise Value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA)

    Metric: 13.89 ((Market Cap + Total Liabilities – Cash) / EBITDA: ((455,506,155 * 2.52) + 627,780,000 – 202,091,000) / (223,091,000 – 35,891,000))

    Trend: Not enough information to determine the trend.

    Industry: This ratio is used to assess the company’s valuation relative to its earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization.

Growth Rates

  • Metric: Revenue Growth

    Metric: 41.44% ((223,091 – 157,722) / 157,722)
  • Metric: Net Income Growth

    Metric: 65.40% ((134,571 – 81,363) / 81,363)
  • Metric: EPS Growth

    Metric: 177.78% ((0.21 – (-0.27)) / (-0.27))

Other Relevant Metrics

  • Investment Rating: The portfolio is heavily weighted towards investment rating 2, indicating performing investments. The decrease in fair value for rating 3, 4 and 5 investments from 2023 to 2024 suggests improved portfolio quality.
  • Level 3 Investments: The independent auditor highlighted the complexity in auditing the fair value of Level 3 investments due to the subjectivity involved in unobservable inputs. This suggests a higher degree of estimation and potential risk associated with these assets.
  • Distributions: The company increased its distributions to shareholders in 2024, with the distribution amount fully covered by net investment income.

⚠️ This is an experimental project and this report is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Conduct your own thorough research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. ⚠️