Regional Management Corp. 10-K Analysis & Summary – 2/21/2025

⚠️This is not investment advice.

⚠️ This is an experimental project and this report is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Conduct your own thorough research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. ⚠️

Filing date:

02/21/2025


TLDR:

Regional Management Corp. (RM) shows growth in loan portfolio and revenue for fiscal year 2024. However, the company faces challenges related to credit quality, regulatory scrutiny, and macroeconomic conditions.

ELI5:

Regional Management makes money by lending to people. They made more money this year, but they also have to watch out for people not paying them back and the government watching them closely.


Accession #:

0000950170-25-024903

Published on

Analyst Summary

  • Total revenue increased by 6.7% YoY, driven by growth in interest and fee income.
  • Net income increased significantly by 158.3% YoY, primarily due to revenue growth and a decrease in the provision for credit losses.
  • Net Credit Loss Ratio decreased from 12.4% to 11.2%, indicating improved credit performance, but still remains high.
  • Delinquency Rate increased from 6.9% to 7.7%, suggesting potential future credit quality concerns.
  • Operating Expense Ratio decreased from 14.2% to 13.8%, demonstrating improved efficiency in managing G&A expenses.
  • Convenience Check Originations represented a significant portion of loan originations (27.4% in 2024), but carry higher default risks.
  • Basic EPS increased from $1.70 in 2023 to $4.28 in 2024, a change of 151.76%.
  • Diluted EPS increased from $1.66 in 2023 to $4.14 in 2024, a change of 149.40%.
  • The overall delinquency rate increased from 6.9% to 7.7%.

Opportunities and Risks

  • Credit Risk: Exposure to non-prime borrowers and potential adverse economic conditions.
  • Regulatory Risk: Increased scrutiny from the CFPB and potential changes in consumer finance regulations.
  • Competition: Intense competition in the consumer finance industry.
  • Cybersecurity: Vulnerability to security breaches and cyber-attacks.
  • Geographic Concentration: High concentration of loan portfolio in Texas, North Carolina, and South Carolina.
  • Geographic Expansion: Potential to grow by entering new states and expanding branch networks.
  • Digital Capabilities: Opportunity to improve customer experience and efficiency through digital channels.
  • Product Diversification: Ability to introduce new credit and non-credit products and services.

Potential Implications

Stock Price

  • The P/E ratio for finance companies generally ranges from 5 to 15. RM’s P/E ratio is 8.01.
  • The P/B ratio for finance companies generally ranges from 0.5 to 2. RM’s P/B ratio is 0.96.
  • The P/S ratio for finance companies generally ranges from 0.5 to 2. RM’s P/S ratio is 0.58.
  • The EV/EBITDA ratio for finance companies generally ranges from 8 to 15. RM’s EV/EBITDA ratio is 12.74.

SEC Filing Report: Regional Management Corp. (RM) 10-K for Fiscal Year Ended December 31, 2024

Executive Summary

This report analyzes Regional Management Corp.’s (RM) 10-K filing for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2024. RM is a diversified consumer finance company providing installment loan products to customers with limited access to credit. The analysis focuses on financial performance, key business strategies, risk factors, and regulatory landscape. Overall, RM demonstrates continued growth in its loan portfolio and revenue, but faces challenges related to credit quality, regulatory scrutiny, and macroeconomic conditions. A hold rating is suggested, pending further observation of credit performance and regulatory developments.

Company Overview

Regional Management Corp. (RM), operating as Regional Finance, provides installment loans to near-prime, non-prime, and subprime consumers across 19 states. The company offers both large and small installment loans, along with optional insurance products. RM utilizes an omni-channel platform, including branches, direct mail, digital partners, and a consumer website. The company’s business model emphasizes an integrated branch network for loan servicing and customer relationship management.

Detailed Analysis

Financial Statement Analysis

RM’s financial performance in 2024 shows growth but also highlights areas of concern.

Key Ratios and Trends:

  • Revenue Growth: Total revenue increased by 6.7% YoY, driven by growth in interest and fee income.
  • Net Income: Net income increased significantly by 158.3% YoY, primarily due to revenue growth and a decrease in the provision for credit losses.
  • Net Credit Loss Ratio: Decreased from 12.4% to 11.2%, indicating improved credit performance, but still remains high.
  • Delinquency Rate: Increased from 6.9% to 7.7%, suggesting potential future credit quality concerns.
  • Operating Expense Ratio: Decreased from 14.2% to 13.8%, demonstrating improved efficiency in managing G&A expenses.

Key Financial Data:

Metric 2024 2023 Change
Total Revenue (in thousands) $588,503 $551,399 6.7%
Net Income (in thousands) $41,227 $15,958 158.3%
Net Credit Loss Ratio 11.2% 12.4% -1.2%
Delinquency Rate 7.7% 6.9% 0.8%
Operating Expense Ratio 13.8% 14.2% -0.4%

Uncommon Metrics:

  • Convenience Check Originations: Represented a significant portion of loan originations (27.4% in 2024), but carry higher default risks.
  • Non-File Insurance Claims: Increased in severity, impacting insurance income negatively.

Management’s Discussion and Analysis (MD&A) Insights

  • Management expresses optimism about future growth, focusing on expanding geographic presence, leveraging direct mail marketing, and improving digital capabilities.
  • Emphasis on maintaining sound underwriting and credit control is reiterated, but rising delinquency rates warrant close monitoring.
  • Management acknowledges the impact of macroeconomic factors, including inflation and interest rates, on their business.

Risk and Opportunity Assessment

Risks:

  • Credit Risk: Exposure to non-prime borrowers and potential adverse economic conditions.
  • Regulatory Risk: Increased scrutiny from the CFPB and potential changes in consumer finance regulations.
  • Competition: Intense competition in the consumer finance industry.
  • Cybersecurity: Vulnerability to security breaches and cyber-attacks.
  • Geographic Concentration: High concentration of loan portfolio in Texas, North Carolina, and South Carolina.

Opportunities:

  • Geographic Expansion: Potential to grow by entering new states and expanding branch networks.
  • Digital Capabilities: Opportunity to improve customer experience and efficiency through digital channels.
  • Product Diversification: Ability to introduce new credit and non-credit products and services.

Conclusion and Actionable Insights

RM has demonstrated growth in its loan portfolio and revenue, but faces challenges related to credit quality, regulatory scrutiny, and macroeconomic conditions. The increase in delinquency rates and the reliance on convenience checks as a significant source of loan originations raise concerns about credit risk. The ongoing regulatory scrutiny from the CFPB could also impact future operations and compliance costs.

Overall Assessment: Hold

Recommendations:

  • Monitor credit performance closely, particularly delinquency rates and net credit loss ratios.
  • Assess the impact of CFPB supervision and potential regulatory changes on the business model.
  • Evaluate the effectiveness of underwriting models and credit control measures.
  • Diversify funding sources to mitigate risks associated with reliance on debt facilities.

Financial Ratio and Metric Analysis

Profitability

  • Gross Profit Margin:

    • Calculation: Total Revenue – (Interest and fee income) / Total Revenue

      • 2024: (588,503 – 528,894) / 588,503 = 10.13%
      • 2023: (551,399 – 489,698) / 551,399 = 11.19%
    • Trend: The gross profit margin decreased from 11.19% in 2023 to 10.13% in 2024, a change of -9.47%.
    • Industry: Industry averages for consumer lending gross profit margins typically range from 15% to 30%. RM’s gross profit margin is below the industry average, which may indicate higher direct costs associated with revenue generation or pricing pressure.
  • Operating Profit Margin:

    • Calculation: Income before income taxes / Total Revenue

      • 2024: 54,075 / 588,503 = 9.19%
      • 2023: 20,783 / 551,399 = 3.77%
    • Trend: The operating profit margin increased from 3.77% in 2023 to 9.19% in 2024, a change of 143.77%.
    • Industry: The operating profit margins for finance companies generally range from 10% to 20%. RM’s operating profit margin is below the industry average.
  • Net Profit Margin:

    • Calculation: Net Income / Total Revenue

      • 2024: 41,227 / 588,503 = 7.00%
      • 2023: 15,958 / 551,399 = 2.89%
    • Trend: The net profit margin increased from 2.89% in 2023 to 7.00% in 2024, a change of 142.21%.
    • Industry: The net profit margins for finance companies generally range from 5% to 15%. RM’s net profit margin is within the industry average.
  • Return on Assets (ROA):

    • Calculation: Net Income / Average Total Assets

      • 2024: 41,227 / ((1,909,109 + 1,794,527) / 2) = 2.22%
    • Industry: The ROA for finance companies generally ranges from 1% to 3%. RM’s ROA is within the industry average.
  • Return on Equity (ROE):

    • Calculation: Net Income / Average Stockholders’ Equity

      • 2024: 41,227 / ((357,078 + 322,273) / 2) = 12.14%
    • Industry: The ROE for finance companies generally ranges from 10% to 20%. RM’s ROE is within the industry average.
  • Earnings Per Share (EPS) – Basic and Diluted:

    • Calculation:

      • Basic EPS: Net Income / Weighted-Average Shares Outstanding (Basic)
      • Diluted EPS: Net Income / Weighted-Average Shares Outstanding (Diluted)
      • 2024 Basic: 41,227 / 9,640 = $4.28
      • 2024 Diluted: 41,227 / 9,957 = $4.14
      • 2023 Basic: 15,958 / 9,398 = $1.70
      • 2023 Diluted: 15,958 / 9,593 = $1.66
    • Trend: Basic EPS increased from $1.70 in 2023 to $4.28 in 2024, a change of 151.76%. Diluted EPS increased from $1.66 in 2023 to $4.14 in 2024, a change of 149.40%.
    • Industry: EPS varies widely based on company size, leverage, and profitability.

Liquidity

  • Current Ratio:

    • Calculation: Current Assets / Current Liabilities. Since a detailed breakdown of current assets and liabilities is not provided, a precise calculation cannot be made. However, based on the provided balance sheet, we can approximate. Assuming cash, restricted cash, and a portion of net finance receivables are current assets, and accounts payable and accrued expenses are current liabilities: (3,951 + 131,684 + portion of 1,644,967) / 39,454. A more accurate assessment requires a detailed breakdown of asset and liability maturities.
    • Industry: A typical current ratio for finance companies is between 1.0 and 2.0.
  • Quick Ratio (Acid-Test Ratio):

    • Calculation: (Current Assets – Inventory) / Current Liabilities. Since inventory is not applicable for this company, and a detailed breakdown of current assets and liabilities is not provided, a precise calculation cannot be made. Assuming cash, restricted cash are quick assets, and accounts payable and accrued expenses are current liabilities: (3,951 + 131,684) / 39,454 = 3.44. A more accurate assessment requires a detailed breakdown of asset and liability maturities.
    • Industry: A typical quick ratio for finance companies is between 0.8 and 1.5.
  • Cash Ratio:

    • Calculation: Cash / Current Liabilities.

      • 2024: 3,951 / 39,454 = 0.10
    • Industry: A typical cash ratio for finance companies is between 0.05 and 0.2.

Solvency/Leverage

  • Debt-to-Equity Ratio:

    • Calculation: Total Debt / Total Stockholders’ Equity

      • 2024: 1,478,336 / 357,078 = 4.14
      • 2023: 1,399,814 / 322,273 = 4.34
    • Trend: The debt-to-equity ratio decreased from 4.34 in 2023 to 4.14 in 2024, a change of -4.61%.
    • Industry: The debt-to-equity ratio for finance companies can vary widely, but is generally between 2.0 and 5.0.
  • Debt-to-Assets Ratio:

    • Calculation: Total Debt / Total Assets

      • 2024: 1,478,336 / 1,909,109 = 0.77
      • 2023: 1,399,814 / 1,794,527 = 0.78
    • Trend: The debt-to-assets ratio decreased from 0.78 in 2023 to 0.77 in 2024, a change of -1.28%.
    • Industry: The debt-to-assets ratio for finance companies is generally between 0.6 and 0.8.
  • Interest Coverage Ratio (Times Interest Earned):

    • Calculation: Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBIT) / Interest Expense

      • 2024: (54,075 + 74,530) / 74,530 = 1.72
      • 2023: (20,783 + 67,463) / 67,463 = 1.31
    • Trend: The interest coverage ratio increased from 1.31 in 2023 to 1.72 in 2024, a change of 31.30%.
    • Industry: A healthy interest coverage ratio is typically above 1.5.

Activity/Efficiency

  • Asset Turnover:

    • Calculation: Total Revenue / Average Total Assets

      • 2024: 588,503 / ((1,909,109 + 1,794,527) / 2) = 0.32
    • Industry: Asset turnover for finance companies is typically between 0.2 and 0.5.

Valuation

  • Price-to-Earnings Ratio (P/E):

    • Calculation: Stock Price / EPS (Basic)

      • 2024: 34.27 / 4.28 = 8.01
    • Industry: The P/E ratio for finance companies generally ranges from 5 to 15.
  • Price-to-Book Ratio (P/B):

    • Calculation: Market Capitalization / Total Stockholders’ Equity

      • 2024: (34.27 * 10,010) / 357,078 = 0.96
    • Industry: The P/B ratio for finance companies generally ranges from 0.5 to 2.
  • Price-to-Sales Ratio (P/S):

    • Calculation: Market Capitalization / Total Revenue

      • 2024: (34.27 * 10,010) / 588,503 = 0.58
    • Industry: The P/S ratio for finance companies generally ranges from 0.5 to 2.
  • Enterprise Value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA):

    • Calculation: (Market Cap + Total Debt – Cash) / EBITDA

      • Market Cap: 34.27 * 10,010 = 343,043.70 thousands
      • EBITDA: Net Income + Interest Expense + Taxes + Depreciation and Amortization = 41,227 + 74,530 + 12,848 + 14,070 = 142,675
      • EV: (343,043.70 + 1,478,336 – 3,951) = 1,817,428.70
      • EV/EBITDA: 1,817,428.70 / 142,675 = 12.74
    • Industry: The EV/EBITDA ratio for finance companies generally ranges from 8 to 15.

Growth Rates

  • Revenue Growth:

    • Calculation: (Current Year Revenue – Previous Year Revenue) / Previous Year Revenue

      • 2024: (588,503 – 551,399) / 551,399 = 6.73%
  • Net Income Growth:

    • Calculation: (Current Year Net Income – Previous Year Net Income) / Previous Year Net Income

      • 2024: (41,227 – 15,958) / 15,958 = 158.34%
  • EPS Growth:

    • Calculation: (Current Year EPS – Previous Year EPS) / Previous Year EPS

      • 2024: (4.28 – 1.70) / 1.70 = 151.76%

Other Relevant Metrics

  • Net Finance Receivables by Product: The company provides a breakdown of its net finance receivables by product type (Large loans, Small loans, and Retail loans). Large loans constitute the majority of the portfolio. The YoY increase in large and small loans indicates portfolio growth in these segments, while the decrease in retail loans suggests a strategic shift away from this product.
  • Net Finance Receivables by Origination Year: This breakdown provides insights into the aging of the loan portfolio and the performance of loans originated in different years.
  • Contractual Delinquency by Aging and Product: The delinquency data provides insights into the credit quality of the loan portfolio. The overall delinquency rate increased from 6.9% to 7.7%.
  • Troubled Debt Restructuring (TDR): The company modifies loans for borrowers experiencing financial difficulties. These modifications include principal forgiveness, interest rate reductions, and term extensions.

Commentary

Regional Management Corp. demonstrated improved financial performance in 2024, marked by significant growth in operating and net profit margins, as well as EPS. Revenue also increased, driven by growth in both large and small loan portfolios. However, the gross profit margin experienced a slight decline, and the delinquency rate saw a marginal increase, indicating potential credit quality concerns. The company maintains a leveraged capital structure, typical for finance companies, and its valuation metrics suggest it is reasonably priced relative to its earnings and sales. Overall, RM’s performance reflects a positive trajectory, but careful monitoring of credit quality and cost management is warranted.

⚠️ This is an experimental project and this report is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Conduct your own thorough research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. ⚠️