UNITED STATES CELLULAR CORP 8-K Analysis & Summary – 2/21/2025

⚠️This is not investment advice.

⚠️ This is an experimental project and this report is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Conduct your own thorough research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. ⚠️

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Filing date:

02/21/2025


TLDR:

United States Cellular Corporation reported a decrease in total operating revenues for Q4 2024 and the full year, announced multiple transactions related to its strategic alternatives review, and did not provide 2025 financial guidance due to the pending transaction with T-Mobile.

ELI5:

US Cellular, a phone company, is selling off parts of its business. They’re doing okay in some areas, but big changes are coming, and it’s hard to know what the future holds.


Accession #:

0000821130-25-000021

Published on

Analyst Summary

  • Total operating revenues decreased to $970 million for Q4 2024 from $1,000 million in Q4 2023, and to $3,770 million for the full year 2024 from $3,906 million in 2023.
  • Net income attributable to UScellular shareholders decreased to $5 million ($0.05 per share) in Q4 2024 from $14 million ($0.16 per share) in Q4 2023. For the full year, a net loss of $(39) million ($(0.46) per share) was reported in 2024, compared to a net income of $54 million ($0.63 per share) in 2023.
  • The full-year 2024 results were significantly impacted by a $136 million license impairment charge in Q3, related to high-band spectrum. Excluding this impairment, net income would have been $63 million ($0.71 per share).
  • UScellular announced multiple transactions, including the sale of its wireless operations and select spectrum assets to T-Mobile, and spectrum license sales to Verizon, Nsight Spectrum, Nex-Tech Wireless and AT&T.
  • While subscriber results remained negative, there was improvement in postpaid and prepaid net losses in the third and fourth quarters of 2024. Fixed wireless customers grew 27%.
  • Cash flows from operating activities and free cash flow increased year-over-year.
  • Due to the pending transaction with T-Mobile, UScellular is not providing 2025 financial guidance.
  • Gross Profit Margin decreased by 0.62% from 72.00% in 2023 to 71.55% in 2024.
  • Operating Profit Margin decreased significantly from 2.10% in 2023 to -0.93% in 2024.
  • Net Profit Margin decreased from 1.40% in 2023 to 0.52% in 2024.
  • ROA decreased from 0.54% in 2023 to -0.31% in 2024.
  • ROE decreased from 1.17% in 2023 to -0.85% in 2024.
  • Basic EPS decreased from $0.64 in 2023 to -$0.45 in 2024. Diluted EPS decreased from $0.62 in 2023 to -$0.45 in 2024.
  • The current ratio decreased from 1.55 in 2023 to 1.52 in 2024.
  • The quick ratio decreased from 1.33 in 2023 to 1.32 in 2024.
  • The cash ratio decreased from 0.17 in 2023 to 0.16 in 2024.
  • The debt-to-equity ratio decreased from 1.32 in 2023 to 1.28 in 2024.
  • The debt-to-assets ratio decreased from 0.57 in 2023 to 0.56 in 2024.
  • The interest coverage ratio decreased from 1.30 in 2023 to 0.82 in 2024.
  • The inventory turnover increased from 4.69 in 2023 to 4.79 in 2024.
  • The DSO increased from 89.54 days in 2023 to 92.38 days in 2024.
  • The DPO increased from 91.61 days in 2023 to 97.44 days in 2024.
  • The asset turnover remained constant at 0.36 in 2023 and 2024.
  • The P/E ratio changed from 34.58 in 2023 to -49.18 in 2024.
  • The P/B ratio increased from 0.41 in 2023 to 0.42 in 2024.
  • The P/S ratio increased from 0.49 in 2023 to 0.51 in 2024.
  • The EV/EBITDA ratio increased from 5.06 in 2023 to 5.59 in 2024.
  • Revenue decreased by 3.48% from 2023 to 2024.
  • Net income decreased by 155.17% from 2023 to 2024.
  • EPS decreased by 170.31% from 2023 to 2024.
  • Adjusted OIBDA increased by 3% year-over-year, from $818 million in 2023 to $845 million in 2024.
  • Adjusted EBITDA increased by 3% year-over-year, from $986 million in 2023 to $1,018 million in 2024.
  • Postpaid retail connections decreased from 4,106,000 in 2023 to 3,985,000 in 2024.
  • Prepaid retail connections decreased from 451,000 in 2023 to 448,000 in 2024.
  • Postpaid ARPU increased from $51.61 in 2023 to $51.73 in 2024.
  • Prepaid ARPU decreased from $32.32 in 2023 to $30.59 in 2024.

Opportunities and Risks

  • Transaction Completion: The successful completion of the announced transactions is subject to regulatory approval and customary closing conditions. Failure to close these deals could significantly impact UScellular’s strategy and financial performance.
  • Integration Challenges: If the T-Mobile transaction closes, substantial costs will be triggered and changes required in the manner in which UScellular’s remaining business is conducted.
  • Competition: Intense competition in the wireless industry remains a significant risk.
  • Lack of Scale: UScellular’s lack of scale relative to larger competitors could hinder its ability to compete effectively.
  • Strategic Realignment: The sale of assets could allow UScellular to focus on specific market segments or invest in new technologies.
  • Tower Business Growth: The tower business shows consistent revenue growth.
  • Improved Wireless Operating Results: Recent improvements in postpaid and prepaid additions and churn rates could signal a turnaround in the wireless business.

US Cellular Corporation – Form 8-K Report – February 21, 2025

Executive Summary

This report analyzes US Cellular Corporation’s (USM) Form 8-K filed on February 21, 2025, pertaining to their Q4 and full-year 2024 results. The overall assessment is that US Cellular is undergoing a significant strategic shift, primarily involving the sale of its wireless operations and spectrum assets. While the company highlights improvements in wireless operating results and cash flow, the pending transactions and lack of 2025 guidance create uncertainty. The recommendation is to closely monitor the progress of the announced transactions and their impact on the remaining business segments.

Company Overview

United States Cellular Corporation (UScellular) is a regional wireless carrier providing services to approximately 4.4 million retail connections across 21 states. The company is majority-owned by Telephone and Data Systems, Inc. (TDS). The current industry context involves intense competition, technological advancements (5G deployment), and regulatory changes.

Detailed Analysis

Results of Operations and Financial Condition (Item 2.02)

The 8-K primarily addresses the results of operations for the period ended December 31, 2024, through an attached earnings press release (Exhibit 99.1). Key observations include:

  • Revenue Decline: Total operating revenues decreased to $970 million for Q4 2024 from $1,000 million in Q4 2023, and to $3,770 million for the full year 2024 from $3,906 million in 2023.
  • Profitability Decline: Net income attributable to UScellular shareholders decreased to $5 million ($0.05 per share) in Q4 2024 from $14 million ($0.16 per share) in Q4 2023. For the full year, a net loss of $(39) million ($(0.46) per share) was reported in 2024, compared to a net income of $54 million ($0.63 per share) in 2023.
  • License Impairment: The full-year 2024 results were significantly impacted by a $136 million license impairment charge in Q3, related to high-band spectrum. Excluding this impairment, net income would have been $63 million ($0.71 per share).
  • Strategic Transactions: UScellular announced multiple transactions, including the sale of its wireless operations and select spectrum assets to T-Mobile, and spectrum license sales to Verizon, Nsight Spectrum, Nex-Tech Wireless and AT&T.
  • Subscriber Trends: While subscriber results remained negative, there was improvement in postpaid and prepaid net losses in the third and fourth quarters of 2024. Fixed wireless customers grew 27%.
  • Cash Flow Improvement: Cash flows from operating activities and free cash flow increased year-over-year.
  • No 2025 Guidance: Due to the pending transaction with T-Mobile, UScellular is not providing 2025 financial guidance.

Financial Statement Analysis

The following table summarizes key financial ratios and trends:

Metric 2023 2024 Change Analysis
Total Operating Revenue (Millions) $3,906 $3,770 -3.5% Revenue decline indicates challenges in maintaining market share or pricing pressure.
Net Income (Loss) Attributable to UScellular Shareholders (Millions) $54 $(39) N/M Significant decline in profitability, largely due to the license impairment.
Free Cash Flow (Millions) $192 $280 +45.8% Positive trend in free cash flow, potentially driven by cost management or asset sales.
Postpaid Churn Rate 1.44% (Q4 2023) 1.29% (Q4 2024) -10.4% Improvement in customer retention.
Capital Expenditures (Millions) $611 $577 -5.6% Decrease in capital spending, possibly related to the pending sale of assets.

Management’s Narrative (MD&A) Insights

Management highlights progress in enhancing shareholder value and maintaining financial discipline. The focus is on the strategic alternatives review and the announced transactions. The narrative acknowledges negative subscriber results but points to improvements in the third and fourth quarters. The lack of 2025 guidance is a significant point, reflecting the uncertainty surrounding the company’s future operations.

Risk and Opportunity Assessment

  • Risks:
    • Transaction Completion: The successful completion of the announced transactions is subject to regulatory approval and customary closing conditions. Failure to close these deals could significantly impact UScellular’s strategy and financial performance.
    • Integration Challenges: If the T-Mobile transaction closes, substantial costs will be triggered and changes required in the manner in which UScellular’s remaining business is conducted.
    • Competition: Intense competition in the wireless industry remains a significant risk.
    • Lack of Scale: UScellular’s lack of scale relative to larger competitors could hinder its ability to compete effectively.
  • Opportunities:
    • Strategic Realignment: The sale of assets could allow UScellular to focus on specific market segments or invest in new technologies.
    • Tower Business Growth: The tower business shows consistent revenue growth.
    • Improved Wireless Operating Results: Recent improvements in postpaid and prepaid additions and churn rates could signal a turnaround in the wireless business.

Uncommon Metrics

  • Fixed Wireless Growth: The 27% growth in fixed wireless customers is a positive sign, indicating potential in this market segment.
  • Tower Tenancy Rate: The consistent tower tenancy rate of 1.55 indicates stable performance in the tower business.

Conclusion and Actionable Insights

UScellular is at a pivotal juncture, undergoing a major strategic transformation. The announced transactions will reshape the company’s future. While improvements in wireless operating results and cash flow are encouraging, the lack of 2025 guidance and the risks associated with transaction completion create uncertainty. Investors should closely monitor the progress of the announced transactions, the performance of the remaining business segments (particularly the tower business), and any updates from management regarding future strategy.

Financial Ratio and Metric Analysis

Profitability

  • Gross Profit Margin:

    • Calculation: Total Operating Revenues – Cost of Equipment Sold / Total Operating Revenues

      • 2024: (970 – 276) / 970 = 71.55%
      • 2023: (1000 – 280) / 1000 = 72.00%
    • Trend: The gross profit margin decreased by 0.62% from 72.00% in 2023 to 71.55% in 2024.
    • Industry: The industry average for telecommunications services is around 50-60%. UZFs gross profit margin is higher than the industry average.
  • Operating Profit Margin:

    • Calculation: Operating Income (Loss) / Total Operating Revenues

      • 2024: (9) / 970 = -0.93%
      • 2023: 21 / 1000 = 2.10%
    • Trend: The operating profit margin decreased significantly from 2.10% in 2023 to -0.93% in 2024.
    • Industry: The industry average for telecommunications services is around 5-15%. UZFs operating profit margin is lower than the industry average.
  • Net Profit Margin:

    • Calculation: Net Income (Loss) Attributable to UScellular Shareholders / Total Operating Revenues

      • 2024: 5 / 970 = 0.52%
      • 2023: 14 / 1000 = 1.40%
    • Trend: The net profit margin decreased from 1.40% in 2023 to 0.52% in 2024.
    • Industry: The industry average for telecommunications services is around 3-10%. UZFs net profit margin is lower than the industry average.
  • Return on Assets (ROA):

    • Calculation: Net Income (Loss) / Total Assets

      • 2024: (32) / 10,449 = -0.31%
      • 2023: 58 / 10,750 = 0.54%
    • Trend: The ROA decreased from 0.54% in 2023 to -0.31% in 2024.
    • Industry: The industry average for telecommunications services is around 2-5%. UZFs ROA is lower than the industry average.
  • Return on Equity (ROE):

    • Calculation: Net Income (Loss) Attributable to UScellular Shareholders / Total UScellular Shareholders’ Equity

      • 2024: (39) / 4,577 = -0.85%
      • 2023: 54 / 4,626 = 1.17%
    • Trend: The ROE decreased from 1.17% in 2023 to -0.85% in 2024.
    • Industry: The industry average for telecommunications services is around 8-15%. UZFs ROE is lower than the industry average.
  • Earnings Per Share (EPS) – Basic and Diluted:

    • Calculation:

      • Basic EPS: Net Income (Loss) Attributable to UScellular Shareholders / Basic Weighted Average Shares Outstanding
      • Diluted EPS: Net Income (Loss) Attributable to UScellular Shareholders / Diluted Weighted Average Shares Outstanding
      • Basic EPS 2024: (39) / 86 = -0.45
      • Basic EPS 2023: 54 / 85 = 0.64
      • Diluted EPS 2024: (39) / 86 = -0.45
      • Diluted EPS 2023: 54 / 87 = 0.62
    • Trend: Basic EPS decreased from $0.64 in 2023 to -$0.45 in 2024. Diluted EPS decreased from $0.62 in 2023 to -$0.45 in 2024.
    • Industry: The EPS varies widely across the industry.

Liquidity

  • Current Ratio:

    • Calculation: Total Current Assets / Total Current Liabilities

      • 2024: 1,345 / 884 = 1.52
      • 2023: 1,400 / 901 = 1.55
    • Trend: The current ratio decreased from 1.55 in 2023 to 1.52 in 2024.
    • Industry: The industry average for telecommunications services is around 0.7-1.2. UZFs current ratio is higher than the industry average.
  • Quick Ratio (Acid-Test Ratio):

    • Calculation: (Total Current Assets – Inventory) / Total Current Liabilities

      • 2024: (1,345 – 179) / 884 = 1.32
      • 2023: (1,400 – 199) / 901 = 1.33
    • Trend: The quick ratio decreased from 1.33 in 2023 to 1.32 in 2024.
    • Industry: The industry average for telecommunications services is around 0.5-1.0. UZFs quick ratio is higher than the industry average.
  • Cash Ratio:

    • Calculation: Cash and Cash Equivalents / Total Current Liabilities

      • 2024: 144 / 884 = 0.16
      • 2023: 150 / 901 = 0.17
    • Trend: The cash ratio decreased from 0.17 in 2023 to 0.16 in 2024.
    • Industry: The industry average for telecommunications services is around 0.05-0.15. UZFs cash ratio is higher than the industry average.

Solvency/Leverage

  • Debt-to-Equity Ratio:

    • Calculation: Total Liabilities / Total Equity

      • 2024: (10,449 – 4,592) / 4,592 = 1.28
      • 2023: (10,750 – 4,642) / 4,642 = 1.32
    • Trend: The debt-to-equity ratio decreased from 1.32 in 2023 to 1.28 in 2024.
    • Industry: The industry average for telecommunications services is around 1.0-2.0. UZFs debt-to-equity ratio is within the industry average.
  • Debt-to-Assets Ratio:

    • Calculation: Total Liabilities / Total Assets

      • 2024: (10,449 – 4,592) / 10,449 = 0.56
      • 2023: (10,750 – 4,642) / 10,750 = 0.57
    • Trend: The debt-to-assets ratio decreased from 0.57 in 2023 to 0.56 in 2024.
    • Industry: The industry average for telecommunications services is around 0.4-0.6. UZFs debt-to-assets ratio is within the industry average.
  • Interest Coverage Ratio (Times Interest Earned):

    • Calculation: Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBIT) / Interest Expense

      • 2024: ((32) + (183)) / 183 = 0.82
      • 2023: (58 + 196) / 196 = 1.30
    • Trend: The interest coverage ratio decreased from 1.30 in 2023 to 0.82 in 2024.
    • Industry: The industry average for telecommunications services is around 2-5. UZFs interest coverage ratio is lower than the industry average.

Activity/Efficiency

  • Inventory Turnover:

    • Calculation: Cost of Equipment Sold / Average Inventory

      • 2024: 906 / ((179 + 199) / 2) = 4.79
      • 2023: 988 / ((199 + 220) / 2) = 4.69
    • Trend: The inventory turnover increased from 4.69 in 2023 to 4.79 in 2024.
    • Industry: The inventory turnover varies widely across the industry.
  • Days Sales Outstanding (DSO):

    • Calculation: (Accounts Receivable / Total Operating Revenues) * 365

      • 2024: (955 / 3,770) * 365 = 92.38
      • 2023: (957 / 3,906) * 365 = 89.54
    • Trend: The DSO increased from 89.54 days in 2023 to 92.38 days in 2024.
    • Industry: The DSO varies widely across the industry.
  • Days Payable Outstanding (DPO):

    • Calculation: (Accounts Payable / Cost of Equipment Sold) * 365

      • 2024: (242 / 906) * 365 = 97.44
      • 2023: (248 / 988) * 365 = 91.61
    • Trend: The DPO increased from 91.61 days in 2023 to 97.44 days in 2024.
    • Industry: The DPO varies widely across the industry.
  • Asset Turnover:

    • Calculation: Total Operating Revenues / Total Assets

      • 2024: 3,770 / 10,449 = 0.36
      • 2023: 3,906 / 10,750 = 0.36
    • Trend: The asset turnover remained constant at 0.36 in 2023 and 2024.
    • Industry: The industry average for telecommunications services is around 0.4-0.6. UZFs asset turnover is lower than the industry average.

Valuation

  • Price-to-Earnings Ratio (P/E):

    • Calculation: Stock Price / EPS

      • 2024: 22.13 / (-0.45) = -49.18
      • 2023: 22.13 / 0.64 = 34.58
    • Trend: The P/E ratio changed from 34.58 in 2023 to -49.18 in 2024.
    • Industry: The P/E ratio varies widely across the industry.
  • Price-to-Book Ratio (P/B):

    • Calculation: Market Capitalization / Total UScellular Shareholders’ Equity

      • Market Cap = Shares Outstanding * Stock Price = 86,000,000 * 22.13 = 1,903,180,000
      • 2024: 1,903,180,000 / 4,577,000,000 = 0.42
      • 2023: 1,903,180,000 / 4,626,000,000 = 0.41
    • Trend: The P/B ratio increased from 0.41 in 2023 to 0.42 in 2024.
    • Industry: The P/B ratio varies widely across the industry.
  • Price-to-Sales Ratio (P/S):

    • Calculation: Market Capitalization / Total Operating Revenues

      • 2024: 1,903,180,000 / 3,770,000,000 = 0.51
      • 2023: 1,903,180,000 / 3,906,000,000 = 0.49
    • Trend: The P/S ratio increased from 0.49 in 2023 to 0.51 in 2024.
    • Industry: The industry average for telecommunications services is around 1-3. UZFs P/S ratio is lower than the industry average.
  • Enterprise Value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA):

    • Calculation: (Market Capitalization + Total Debt – Cash) / EBITDA

      • Total Debt = Current Portion of Long-Term Debt + Long-Term Debt, Net = 22 + 2,837 = 2,859
      • 2024: (1,903 + 2,859 – 144) / 826 = 5.59
      • 2023: (1,903 + 3,064 – 150) / 963 = 5.06
    • Trend: The EV/EBITDA ratio increased from 5.06 in 2023 to 5.59 in 2024.
    • Industry: The industry average for telecommunications services is around 6-8. UZFs EV/EBITDA ratio is lower than the industry average.

Growth Rates

  • Revenue Growth:

    • Calculation: (Current Year Revenue – Previous Year Revenue) / Previous Year Revenue

      • 2024: (3,770 – 3,906) / 3,906 = -3.48%
    • Trend: Revenue decreased by 3.48% from 2023 to 2024.
  • Net Income Growth:

    • Calculation: (Current Year Net Income – Previous Year Net Income) / Previous Year Net Income

      • 2024: ((32) – 58) / 58 = -155.17%
    • Trend: Net income decreased by 155.17% from 2023 to 2024.
  • EPS Growth:

    • Calculation: (Current Year EPS – Previous Year EPS) / Previous Year EPS

      • 2024: ((0.45) – 0.64) / 0.64 = -170.31%
    • Trend: EPS decreased by 170.31% from 2023 to 2024.

Other Relevant Metrics

  • Adjusted OIBDA and Adjusted EBITDA (Non-GAAP): These metrics are used by the company to provide a clearer picture of their operating performance by excluding certain items that may not be indicative of their core business operations. These adjustments can include expenses related to strategic alternatives review, gains or losses on asset disposals, and other non-recurring items.

    • Adjusted OIBDA: Increased by 3% year-over-year, from $818 million in 2023 to $845 million in 2024.
    • Adjusted EBITDA: Increased by 3% year-over-year, from $986 million in 2023 to $1,018 million in 2024.

    While these non-GAAP metrics show positive growth, it’s important to consider the GAAP net income, which decreased significantly. The adjustments made to arrive at Adjusted OIBDA and Adjusted EBITDA should be carefully scrutinized to understand their impact on the overall financial picture.

  • Retail Connections:

    • Postpaid: Total at end of period decreased from 4,106,000 in 2023 to 3,985,000 in 2024.
    • Prepaid: Total at end of period decreased from 451,000 in 2023 to 448,000 in 2024.
  • ARPU:

    • Postpaid: ARPU increased from $51.61 in 2023 to $51.73 in 2024.
    • Prepaid: ARPU decreased from $32.32 in 2023 to $30.59 in 2024.

Commentary

UScellular’s financial performance in 2024 shows a mixed picture. While adjusted EBITDA and OIBDA increased, GAAP profitability metrics like net income, EPS, ROA, and ROE declined significantly. Revenue growth was negative, and key efficiency ratios like DSO increased, indicating potential challenges in collecting receivables. The company’s liquidity position remains strong, but the declining profitability and revenue trends raise concerns about its long-term financial health.

⚠️ This is an experimental project and this report is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Conduct your own thorough research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. ⚠️