Form Tyoe: 10-K

  • SharpLink Gaming, Inc. 10-K Analysis & Summary – 3/14/2025

    Analyst Summary

    • Revenue from continuing operations decreased by 26.1% due to softening market conditions and customer loss.
    • Net income improved significantly due to the gain on the sale of discontinued operations.
    • Gross profit margin decreased from 30.9% to 24.7%, indicating reduced profitability.
    • The company is working to regain compliance with Nasdaq’s minimum bid price and stockholders’ equity requirements.
    • Management highlights the company’s focus on performance marketing and cost discipline.
    • The company is actively evaluating strategic alternatives, including a potential sale or merger.
    • The company’s net profit margin is 275.7%, significantly higher than the industry average, indicating potential issues with cost management or pricing strategy.
    • The company’s ROA is 392.8%, significantly higher than the industry average, indicating potential issues with cost management or pricing strategy.
    • The company’s EPS is $2.29, significantly higher than the industry average, indicating potential issues with cost management or pricing strategy.

    Opportunities and Risks

    • Risk: Failure to regain compliance with Nasdaq listing requirements could lead to delisting.
    • Risk: Economic downturns and reduced consumer spending could negatively impact revenue.
    • Risk: Increased competition in the performance marketing space.
    • Risk: Regulatory changes and legal challenges in the sports betting and online gaming industries.
    • Risk: Cybersecurity threats and data breaches.
    • Opportunity: Expansion into new states as sports betting and online gaming are legalized.
    • Opportunity: Leveraging the company’s affiliate marketing network and D2P web properties.
    • Opportunity: Potential strategic alternatives, such as a sale or merger, could unlock value for shareholders.

    Potential Implications

    Company Performance

    • Continued focus on cost-cutting measures to improve profitability.
    • Success in expanding into new states and leveraging affiliate marketing network.
    • Ability to navigate regulatory changes and legal challenges in the sports betting and online gaming industries.

    Stock Price

    • Failure to regain compliance with Nasdaq listing requirements could negatively impact the stock price.
    • Positive news regarding strategic alternatives, such as a sale or merger, could boost the stock price.
    • Successful execution of the company’s performance marketing strategy could lead to increased revenue and improved investor confidence.
  • Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund 10-K Analysis & Summary – 3/14/2025

    Analyst Summary

    • FBTC’s net assets reached $18.81 billion by the end of 2024, with a NAV per share of $81.56, reflecting substantial growth driven by Bitcoin’s price appreciation.
    • The fund operates passively, aiming to mirror the performance of Bitcoin as measured by the Fidelity Bitcoin Reference Rate (Index).
    • The net expense ratio was 0.14% after waivers, with the primary expense being the sponsor fee.
    • The fund held 201,556.08413894 Bitcoin as of December 31, 2024.
    • The fund achieved a total return of 103.90% at Net Asset Value and 103.95% at Market Value for the period January 11, 2024, to December 31, 2024.
    • Return on Assets (ROA): 36.82%
    • Return on Equity (ROE): 36.90%
    • Earnings Per Share (EPS) – Basic and Diluted: $0.0301 per share
    • Current Ratio: 462.09
    • Quick Ratio (Acid-Test Ratio): 171.23
    • Debt-to-Equity Ratio: 0.0022
    • Debt-to-Assets Ratio: 0.0022
    • Price-to-Earnings Ratio (P/E): 614.04
    • Price-to-Book Ratio (P/B): 0.91

    Opportunities and Risks

    • Risk: Bitcoin Volatility – The fund’s performance is highly susceptible to Bitcoin’s price fluctuations.
    • Risk: Regulatory Uncertainty – Evolving regulations surrounding digital assets could significantly impact the fund.
    • Risk: Cybersecurity Threats – The fund relies on third-party custodians and service providers, making it vulnerable to cyberattacks.
    • Risk: Concentration Risk – The fund’s investment strategy is concentrated in a single asset, Bitcoin, maximizing exposure to market risks.
    • Opportunity: Increasing Bitcoin Adoption – Growing acceptance of Bitcoin as an investment asset could drive demand for FBTC shares.
    • Opportunity: Accessibility – FBTC provides investors with a convenient way to access the Bitcoin market through traditional brokerage accounts.
    • Opportunity: Passive Management – The fund’s passive management strategy offers a cost-effective approach to investing in Bitcoin.

    Potential Implications

    Company Performance

    • Continued growth in assets under management is dependent on Bitcoin’s price appreciation and investor demand.
    • The fund’s profitability is directly linked to the net change in unrealized appreciation on Bitcoin.
    • Sponsor fee waivers can significantly impact the fund’s net expenses and overall performance.

    Stock Price

    • FBTC’s stock price will closely track Bitcoin’s price movements.
    • Regulatory developments and market sentiment towards Bitcoin can influence FBTC’s stock price.
    • Increased adoption of Bitcoin as an investment asset could drive demand for FBTC shares and positively impact its stock price.
  • NATIONAL PRESTO INDUSTRIES INC 10-K Analysis & Summary – 3/14/2025

    Analyst Summary

    • NPK experienced significant revenue growth in 2024, driven primarily by the Defense segment, with the Housewares/Small Appliance segment also contributing.
    • Gross and net profit margins expanded, indicating improved operational efficiency and cost management, with a favorable LIFO inventory adjustment in the Housewares/Small Appliance segment contributing to gross margin improvement.
    • The Defense segment is the primary revenue and profit generator, while the Safety segment continues to operate at a loss.
    • A cybersecurity incident disclosed on March 1, 2025, is a significant concern with potential material impact on the company’s financial condition and results of operations.
    • Cash position decreased substantially due to increased inventory and dividend payments.
    • Gross Profit Margin increased to 20.23% from 19.78% in 2023.
    • Operating Profit Margin increased to 11.65% from 10.28% in 2023.
    • Net Profit Margin increased to 10.68% from 10.14% in 2023.
    • Return on Assets (ROA) increased to 9.15% from 7.84% in 2023.
    • Return on Equity (ROE) increased to 11.28% from 9.70% in 2023.
    • Basic and Diluted Earnings Per Share (EPS) increased to $5.82 from $4.86 in 2023.
    • Current Ratio decreased slightly to 4.93 from 5.00 in 2023.
    • Quick Ratio (Acid-Test Ratio) decreased to 0.92 from 1.22 in 2023.
    • Cash Ratio decreased significantly to 0.30 from 1.58 in 2023.
    • Debt-to-Equity Ratio decreased slightly to 0.23 from 0.24 in 2023.
    • Debt-to-Assets Ratio remained constant at 0.19.
    • Interest Coverage Ratio (Times Interest Earned) is very high at 25335.
    • Inventory Turnover decreased to 1.11 from 1.44 in 2023.
    • Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) increased to 58.80 from 52.13 in 2023.
    • Days Payable Outstanding (DPO) increased to 52.57 from 43.36 in 2023.
    • Asset Turnover increased to 0.86 from 0.77 in 2023.
    • Price-to-Earnings Ratio (P/E) is 15.30.
    • Price-to-Book Ratio (P/B) is 0.59.
    • Price-to-Sales Ratio (P/S) is 0.63.
    • Enterprise Value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) is 7.44.
    • Revenue Growth is 13.88%.
    • Net Income Growth is 20.00%.
    • EPS Growth is 19.75%.

    Opportunities and Risks

    • Cybersecurity Incident: The recent cybersecurity incident poses a significant risk to NPK’s operations, data security, and financial performance.
    • Defense Spending: Dependence on U.S. government contracts makes the Defense segment vulnerable to changes in defense spending and government priorities.
    • Supply Chain Disruptions: Reliance on third-party suppliers in Asia for the Housewares/Small Appliance segment exposes the company to supply chain disruptions and increased costs.
    • Competition: The Housewares/Small Appliance segment operates in a highly competitive and price-sensitive environment.
    • Startup Risks: The Safety segment faces the inherent risks associated with startup businesses, including limited revenues and the need for significant investment in product development and marketing.
    • Defense Contract Backlog: The significant contract backlog in the Defense segment provides revenue visibility and growth potential.
    • New Product Development: Successful development and introduction of new products in the Housewares/Small Appliance and Safety segments can drive revenue growth and market share gains.
    • Acquisitions: Strategic acquisitions can expand NPK’s product offerings and market reach.

    Potential Implications

    Company Performance

    • The cybersecurity incident could negatively impact future financial performance if not properly addressed.
    • Continued success in securing and executing defense contracts is crucial for maintaining revenue growth.
    • The Safety segment needs to improve its financial performance to reduce losses and contribute to overall profitability.
    • Efficient management of the supply chain is essential for mitigating the risk of disruptions and increased costs.

    Stock Price

    • The cybersecurity incident could negatively impact the stock price if investors perceive it as a significant threat.
    • Positive news regarding defense contracts and new product development could boost the stock price.
    • Overall financial performance and profitability will continue to be key drivers of the stock price.
  • Bath & Body Works, Inc. 10-K Analysis & Summary – 3/14/2025

    Analyst Summary

    • Net sales decreased by 1.6% to $7.307 billion, primarily due to the 53rd week in fiscal 2023 and a decline in wholesale shipments to franchise partners.
    • Gross profit decreased slightly, but the gross profit rate increased to 44.3% due to improved merchandise margins.
    • Operating income decreased by 1% to $1.266 billion, with the operating income rate remaining flat at 17.3%.
    • Sales per average selling square foot decreased to $1,041 from $1,074.
    • Sales per average store decreased to $2.951 million from $3.015 million.
    • The debt leverage ratio decreased from 2.8 to 2.5, indicating improved financial health.
    • Free cash flow remained relatively stable at $660 million.
    • Gross Profit Margin increased from 43.56% to 44.26%.
    • Operating Profit Margin remained relatively stable at 17.3%.
    • Net Profit Margin decreased from 11.82% to 10.92%.
    • Return on Assets (ROA) increased slightly from 16.07% to 16.38%.
    • Return on Equity (ROE) is negative and decreased from -53.96% to -57.69%.
    • EPS (Basic) decreased from $3.86 to $3.62.
    • EPS (Diluted) decreased from $3.84 to $3.61.
    • Current Ratio decreased from 1.64 to 1.48.
    • Quick Ratio decreased from 1.09 to 0.88.
    • Cash Ratio decreased from 0.84 to 0.55.
    • Debt-to-Equity Ratio is negative and increased from -2.70 to -2.81.
    • Debt-to-Assets Ratio decreased slightly from 0.803 to 0.797.
    • Interest Coverage Ratio increased from 3.72 to 4.06.
    • Inventory Turnover decreased from 5.9 to 5.6.
    • Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) decreased from 11.0 to 10.3.
    • Days Payable Outstanding (DPO) decreased from 33.1 to 30.4.
    • Asset Turnover increased from 1.36 to 1.50.
    • Price-to-Earnings Ratio (P/E) is 8.17, below the industry average.
    • Price-to-Book Ratio (P/B) is negative and not comparable to the industry average.
    • Price-to-Sales Ratio (P/S) is 0.41, below the industry average.
    • Enterprise Value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) is 7.95, below the industry average.
    • Revenue Growth decreased by 1.64%.
    • Net Income Growth decreased by 9.11%.
    • EPS Growth decreased by 6.00%.
  • CREATIVE REALITIES, INC. 10-K Analysis & Summary – 3/14/2025

    Analyst Summary

    • Revenue increased by 13% to $50.85 million, driven by a 31% increase in service revenue, while hardware revenue decreased by 10%.
    • Gross margin decreased from 49% to 47% due to a shift towards installation services revenue.
    • Net loss decreased by 19% to $3.51 million, but the company remains unprofitable.
    • Cash and cash equivalents decreased significantly from $2.91 million to $1.04 million.
    • The company’s revolving credit facility increased to $13.04 million.
    • The independent auditor’s report includes an explanatory paragraph indicating substantial doubt about the company’s ability to continue as a going concern.
    • Management highlights a record year of performance and expresses optimism for fiscal 2025, emphasizing recurring SaaS revenue and the AdLogic CPM+ platform.

    Opportunities and Risks

    • Opportunity: Growth in service revenue, particularly recurring SaaS revenue, and the potential of the AdLogic CPM+ platform.
    • Risk: The company’s ability to manage its debt and contingent consideration obligations.
    • Risk: The ‘going concern’ warning from the auditors.
    • Risk: Reliance on a few key customers for a significant portion of its revenue.

    Potential Implications

    Company Performance

    • Continued focus on growing service revenue and managing debt is crucial for improving profitability.
    • The company’s ability to diversify its customer base will impact its long-term stability.
    • Success of the AdLogic CPM+ platform will be a key factor in driving recurring revenue.

    Stock Price

    • The ‘going concern’ warning may negatively impact the stock price.
    • Positive developments in managing debt and improving profitability could lead to an increase in stock price.
    • Growth in SaaS revenue and successful adoption of the AdLogic CPM+ platform could positively influence investor sentiment.
  • Eagle Bancorp Montana, Inc. 10-K Analysis & Summary – 3/14/2025

    Analyst Summary

    • Eagle Bancorp Montana’s 2024 net income decreased slightly to $9.78 million from $10.06 million in 2023.
    • Total assets increased modestly to $2.10 billion in 2024 from $2.08 billion in 2023.
    • Loans receivable, net, grew to $1.50 billion in 2024 from $1.47 billion in 2023, driven by commercial real estate and commercial loans.
    • Total deposits increased to $1.68 billion in 2024 from $1.64 billion in 2023, but a shift towards higher-cost certificates of deposit could impact future profitability.
    • Net Interest Margin (NIM) experienced a slight decrease, indicating increasing pressure on profitability due to rising deposit costs.
    • Nonperforming loans decreased, indicating improved asset quality.
    • A material weakness was identified in internal control related to the classification of borrowings, requiring remediation.
    • The company’s strategy includes diversification of the loan portfolio, attraction of core deposits, and strategic acquisitions.
    • Basic EPS decreased from $1.29 in 2023 to $1.25 in 2024, a change of -3.10%. Diluted EPS decreased from $1.29 in 2023 to $1.24 in 2024, a change of -3.88%.
    • The debt-to-equity ratio of 11.03 is relatively high, indicating that EBMT relies heavily on debt financing compared to equity.
    • The interest coverage ratio of 1.28 is low, indicating that EBMT’s earnings barely cover its interest expenses.

    Opportunities and Risks

    • Strategic Acquisitions: Potential acquisitions could enhance market share and expand the company’s footprint.
    • Core Deposit Growth: Continued emphasis on attracting and retaining core deposits could improve funding costs.
    • Technological Advancements: Effective implementation of new technologies could enhance efficiency and customer service.
    • Economic Conditions: Dependence on the Montana economy makes the company vulnerable to regional economic downturns.
    • Interest Rate Risk: Changes in interest rates could negatively impact net interest income and the value of the securities portfolio.
    • Competition: Intense competition in the banking and financial services industry could limit growth and profitability.
    • Cybersecurity: Increasing cybersecurity threats pose a risk to the company’s systems and data.
    • Credit Risk: Increased commercial real estate and commercial business loan originations elevate credit risk.
    • Climate Change: Physical and financial risks associated with climate change and natural disasters.

    Potential Implications

    Company Performance

    • Addressing the material weakness in internal control is crucial for maintaining investor confidence and regulatory compliance.
    • Managing credit risk in the commercial real estate and agricultural loan portfolios is essential to mitigate potential losses during economic downturns.
    • Mitigating the impact of interest rate fluctuations on net interest income and the securities portfolio is necessary to maintain profitability.
    • Diversifying the loan portfolio and revenue streams can reduce the company’s vulnerability to specific sectors and economic conditions.

    Stock Price

    • Successful remediation of the material weakness in internal control could positively impact the stock price.
    • Effective management of credit risk and interest rate risk could enhance investor confidence and support the stock price.
    • Strategic acquisitions and core deposit growth could drive long-term value creation and positively influence the stock price.
    • Negative economic conditions in Montana or adverse interest rate movements could negatively impact the stock price.
  • InPoint Commercial Real Estate Income, Inc. 10-K Analysis & Summary – 3/14/2025

    Analyst Summary

    • Net income attributable to common stockholders improved to $6.7 million, or $0.66 per share, compared to a net loss of $10.4 million, or $1.03 per share, in the previous year, primarily due to a decrease in the provision for credit losses.
    • Total assets decreased from $780.3 million to $661.3 million, mainly due to a reduction in the commercial mortgage loan portfolio from $722.0 million to $549.2 million.
    • Net interest income decreased from $26.1 million to $21.6 million due to the smaller loan portfolio.
    • Revenue from real estate decreased from $12.7 million to $2.8 million due to the sale of Renaissance O’Hare.
    • Net cash provided by operating activities increased slightly from $16.2 million to $18.0 million.
    • Net cash used in financing activities increased from $88.0 million to $135.2 million, primarily for debt repayments.
    • Management is focused on maintaining liquidity and managing maturing loans in challenging CRE market conditions.
    • The company is positioning the portfolio for a potential future strategic alternative to maximize stockholder value.
    • The share repurchase plan remains suspended, indicating liquidity concerns.
    • The company acquired REO properties through foreclosure, indicating potential credit quality issues in the loan portfolio.
    • Operating profit margin increased significantly from 31.69% to 57.52%, a 81.5% increase.
    • Net profit margin improved from -11.44% to 51.95%.
    • Return on Assets (ROA) improved from -0.61% to 1.75%.
    • Return on Equity (ROE) improved from -3.93% to 2.69%.
    • Earnings Per Share (EPS) improved from -$1.03 to $0.66.
    • Current ratio increased from 0.11 to 0.17.
    • Debt-to-equity ratio decreased from 2.11 to 1.70.
    • Interest coverage ratio increased from 0.90 to 1.35.
    • Asset turnover decreased from 5.3% to 3.4%.
    • Revenue decreased by 37.11%.
    • Net Income increased by -385.51%.
    • EPS increased by -164.08%.
    • FFO attributable to common stockholders increased significantly, while MFFO decreased.
    • The principal balance of first mortgage loans decreased from $729.380 million in 2023 to $549.303 million in 2024.
    • The all-in yield on loans decreased from 8.1% to 7.6%.

    Opportunities and Risks

    • Market Conditions: Continued volatility in the CRE market and financial markets could negatively impact asset values and financing availability.
    • Liquidity Risk: Suspension of SRP and reliance on limited financing sources create liquidity risks.
    • Credit Risk: Potential for borrower defaults and losses on CRE debt investments.
    • Interest Rate Risk: Fluctuations in interest rates could reduce the company’s ability to generate income.
    • Strategic Uncertainty: Lack of a defined strategic plan creates uncertainty for investors.
    • Strategic Alternatives: Potential to unlock value through a well-executed strategic plan.
    • Market Recovery: Improvement in capital market conditions could improve the company’s financial position.
    • Active Management: Proactive management of the loan portfolio could mitigate credit risks.

    Potential Implications

    Company Performance

    • Closely track loan performance and proactively manage credit risks.
    • Maintain adequate liquidity to meet obligations and capitalize on opportunities.
    • Develop and communicate a clear strategic plan to maximize stockholder value.
    • Continuously assess capital market conditions to determine the optimal timing for strategic alternatives.
  • CROWN CASTLE INC. 10-K Analysis & Summary – 3/14/2025

    Analyst Summary

    • Site rental revenues decreased by 3% year-over-year due to Sprint cancellations and a decline in prepaid rent amortization.
    • A $5.0 billion goodwill impairment charge was recorded for the Fiber reporting unit, significantly impacting net income and profitability metrics.
    • The company is undergoing restructuring plans to enhance returns and improve operational efficiency.
    • A definitive agreement has been signed to sell the Fiber segment, expected to close in the first half of 2026.
    • Adjusted EBITDA decreased by 6% year-over-year, but the company emphasizes growing cash flows from existing infrastructure.
    • The company’s total deficit is $(133) million.
    • The company reports a Total Net Leverage Ratio of 5.7x as of December 31, 2024, which is below the covenant level requirement of ≤ 6.50x.
    • The company reports a Total Senior Secured Leverage Ratio of 0.4x as of December 31, 2024, which is below the covenant level requirement of ≤ 3.50x.

    Opportunities and Risks

    • Opportunity: The pending sale of the Fiber business could unlock value and allow CCI to focus on its core Towers segment.
    • Risk: The $5.0 billion goodwill impairment charge in the Fiber segment raises concerns about the valuation of this business.
    • Risk: Restructuring plans, while intended to improve efficiency, can disrupt operations and impact employee morale.
    • Risk: A significant portion of revenue is derived from a small number of tenants, increasing the risk of revenue loss if any of these tenants experience financial difficulties or consolidate.
    • Risk: The company has a substantial amount of debt, with a mix of fixed and variable interest rates.
    • Risk: Current Ratio is below 1, indicating potential short-term liquidity challenges.
    • Risk: Interest Coverage Ratio is negative, indicating an inability to cover interest expenses with operating income.

    Potential Implications

    Company Performance

    • The sale of the Fiber business could improve focus and capital allocation to the Towers segment.
    • Restructuring initiatives may lead to cost savings and improved profitability in the long term.
    • High debt levels could constrain future investment opportunities and increase financial risk.
    • Tenant concentration could lead to revenue volatility if major tenants reduce their spending or consolidate.

    Stock Price

    • The goodwill impairment and net loss could negatively impact investor sentiment in the short term.
    • Successful execution of the Fiber business sale could be a positive catalyst for the stock price.
    • Progress in reducing debt levels and improving profitability could lead to a re-rating of the stock.
  • OHIO VALLEY BANC CORP 10-K Analysis & Summary – 3/14/2025

    Analyst Summary

    • Net income decreased by 12.9% from $12.63 million in 2023 to $10.99 million in 2024.
    • Earnings per share decreased by 12.5% from $2.65 in 2023 to $2.32 in 2024.
    • Net interest income increased by 6.0% from $46.03 million in 2023 to $48.80 million in 2024.
    • Noninterest expense increased significantly by 11.5% from $41.37 million in 2023 to $46.13 million in 2024, driven by a voluntary severance package.
    • Return on Average Assets (ROAA) decreased from 0.99% in 2023 to 0.77% in 2024.
    • Return on Average Equity (ROAE) decreased from 9.24% in 2023 to 7.50% in 2024.
    • Net Interest Margin (FTE) decreased from 3.94% in 2023 to 3.71% in 2024.
    • Total assets increased by 11.2% from $1.35 billion in 2023 to $1.50 billion in 2024.
    • Total loans increased by 9.3% from $971.9 million in 2023 to $1,061.8 million in 2024.
    • Total deposits increased by 13.1% from $1.13 billion in 2023 to $1.28 billion in 2024, significantly impacted by the Ohio Homebuyer Plus program.
    • The company’s efficiency ratio increased from 69.82% to 73.79%, indicating less efficient operations.
    • Operating Profit Margin is 21.58%.
    • Net Profit Margin is 17.75%.
    • Debt-to-Equity Ratio is 9.00.
    • Asset Turnover is 0.062.
    • Revenue Growth is 17.7%.
    • Net Income Growth is -13%.
    • EPS Growth is -12.5%.

    Opportunities and Risks

    • Economic and Market Conditions: OVBC is susceptible to economic downturns in its primary markets of Ohio and West Virginia.
    • Interest Rate Risk: Fluctuations in interest rates could negatively impact the company’s net interest margin and borrowers’ ability to repay loans.
    • Competition: The financial services industry is highly competitive, and OVBC faces competition from larger institutions and non-traditional financial service providers.
    • Credit Risk: A significant portion of the loan portfolio consists of commercial and commercial real estate loans, which are considered to have higher credit risk.
    • Cybersecurity: The company faces increasing cybersecurity threats, which could result in data breaches and financial losses.
    • Liquidity Risk: Declining deposit levels and increased reliance on higher-cost funding sources could negatively impact the company’s liquidity.
    • Regulatory Risk: New laws and increased regulatory oversight could significantly affect the company’s business, financial condition, and results of operations.
    • Loan Growth: The company has opportunities to expand its loan portfolio, particularly in commercial lending.
    • Strategic Initiatives: The Ohio Homebuyer Plus program presents an opportunity to attract deposits and increase investment in securities.
    • Technological Advancements: OVBC can leverage technology to improve efficiency and better serve customers.

    Potential Implications

    Company Performance

    • Expense Management: Implement strategies to control noninterest expenses and improve operational efficiency.
    • Margin Improvement: Focus on strategies to improve the net interest margin, such as optimizing deposit pricing and asset allocation.
    • Monitor Asset Quality: Closely monitor asset quality and maintain adequate reserves for potential credit losses.
    • Cybersecurity Measures: Continue to invest in cybersecurity measures to protect against evolving threats.

    Stock Price

    • The Price-to-Earnings Ratio (P/E) is 13.08.
    • The Price-to-Book Ratio (P/B) is 0.95.
    • The Price-to-Sales Ratio (P/S) is 1.61.
    • The Enterprise Value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) is 2.57.
  • TRUSTCO BANK CORP N Y 10-K Analysis & Summary – 3/14/2025

    Analyst Summary

    • Net income decreased by 16.73% to $48.8 million, primarily due to a decline in net interest income by 11.58% because of rising interest expenses.
    • Return on Average Assets (ROAA) decreased from 0.97% to 0.80%, and Return on Average Equity (ROAE) decreased from 9.46% to 7.43%, indicating a decline in profitability.
    • Net Interest Margin (NIM) compressed from 2.91% to 2.54%, reflecting challenges in maintaining interest rate spreads.
    • The efficiency ratio increased from 58.53% to 61.55%, signaling rising operating expenses relative to revenue.
    • Tier 1 Leverage Ratio increased from 10.78% to 11.05%, indicating a solid capital base.
    • Loan portfolio growth was primarily in residential real estate and commercial loans, while deposit growth was modest with a shift from non-maturity to time deposits.
    • Non-interest income increased due to a one-time gain on equity securities, and non-interest expense decreased due to lower litigation settlement expenses.
    • The adjusted efficiency ratio also increased, suggesting underlying operational inefficiencies.
    • Nonperforming assets increased, warranting close monitoring.
    • The bank’s capital ratios are strong compared to its peers, but its profitability metrics (ROAA, ROAE) are lagging.
    • Net income and net interest income have declined compared to previous years, indicating a weakening financial performance.
    • Net Profit Margin is 20.07%.
    • Cash Ratio is 11.5%.
    • Debt-to-Equity Ratio is 7.22.
    • Debt-to-Assets Ratio is 78.3%.
    • Interest Coverage Ratio is 2.66.
    • Asset Turnover is 3.98%.
    • Price-to-Earnings Ratio (P/E) is 11.82.
    • Price-to-Book Ratio (P/B) is 0.85.
    • Price-to-Sales Ratio (P/S) is 2.37.
    • Enterprise Value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) is 0.134.
    • Revenue Growth is 7.56%.
    • Net Income Growth is -16.73%.
    • EPS Growth is -16.56%.

    Opportunities and Risks

    • Interest Rate Risk: The bank’s profitability is highly sensitive to changes in interest rates.
    • Credit Risk: The increasing commercial loan portfolio carries a higher risk of default. Weakness in the residential real estate market could also negatively impact asset quality.
    • Regulatory Compliance: The bank is subject to extensive and evolving regulations, including those related to cybersecurity, consumer protection, and anti-money laundering.
    • Climate Risk: Extreme weather conditions and rising sea levels could damage facilities and impact the value of mortgage collateral.
    • Cannabis Banking: The bank’s entry into the cannabis banking sector presents a growth opportunity, although it also carries regulatory risks.
    • Technological Advancements: Investments in online and mobile banking platforms can enhance customer experience and improve operational efficiency.
    • Branch Network Expansion: Strategic expansion of the branch network in existing and new markets can drive loan and deposit growth.

    Potential Implications

    Company Performance

    • Declining profitability and increasing risks require careful management.
    • Focus on mitigating interest rate and credit risks, enhancing operational efficiency, and capitalizing on growth opportunities in the cannabis banking sector are crucial for future performance.

    Stock Price

    • The bank should actively manage its interest rate risk by diversifying its asset and liability mix, exploring hedging strategies, and stress-testing its portfolio under various interest rate scenarios.
    • The bank should strengthen its underwriting standards and loan monitoring processes to mitigate credit risk in the commercial loan portfolio.
    • The bank should invest in compliance resources and training to ensure adherence to evolving regulations.